Rip or Flip
Mega Evolution ETB
KEEP SEALED

Mega Evolution ETB

9 packs + $1.00 in promos

−$61.07

you lose on avg

$19.90

market EV

$80.97

sealed price

75% return

Prices updated: 1h agoEV calculated: 1h agoPull rate confidence:High
High Variance Set47% of this set's EV comes from ultra-rare pulls (less than 1-in-50 odds). Most packs will return significantly less than the $2.10 average.

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$
KEEP SEALED

$61.07

24.6% return

How the EV is Calculated

01

EV per booster pack = $2.10

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 5,000 pack openings.

02

$2.10 × 9 packs = $18.90

This product contains 9 booster packs.

03

$18.90 + $1.00 promos = $19.90

Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.

04

$19.90 ÷ $80.97 = 24.6% return

Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $2.10 EV per pack. For this 9-pack product, multiply by 9.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/9pk% of Total
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)10$80.220.99%$0.79$7.1137.6%
Illustration Rare(IR)22$4.8811.10%$0.54$4.8625.7%
Ultra Rare(UR)22$5.128.30%$0.43$3.8720.5%
Mega Hyper Rare(MHR)2$250.950.08%$0.20$1.809.5%
Double Rare(RR)10$0.6920.00%$0.14$1.266.7%
Total$2.10$18.90100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Mega Evolution, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

1
Mega Gardevoir ex - 178/132

Mega Gardevoir ex - 178/132

#178/132 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 1010 packs

$174.77

+$1.56 EV

2
Mega Lucario ex - 179/132

Mega Lucario ex - 179/132

#179/132 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 1010 packs

$159.79

+$1.42 EV

3
Mega Venusaur ex - 177/132

Mega Venusaur ex - 177/132

#177/132 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 1010 packs

$122.65

+$1.09 EV

4
Mega Lucario ex - 188/132

Mega Lucario ex - 188/132

#188/132 · Mega Hyper Rare

1 in 2519 packs

$280.04

+$1.00 EV

5
Mega Gardevoir ex - 187/132

Mega Gardevoir ex - 187/132

#187/132 · Mega Hyper Rare

1 in 2519 packs

$221.86

+$0.79 EV

6
Bulbasaur - 133/132

Bulbasaur - 133/132

#133/132 · Illustration Rare

1 in 198 packs

$17.44

+$0.79 EV

7
Ivysaur - 134/132

Ivysaur - 134/132

#134/132 · Illustration Rare

1 in 198 packs

$17.13

+$0.78 EV

8
Lillie's Determination - 169/132

Lillie's Determination - 169/132

#169/132 · Ultra Rare

1 in 265 packs

$21.50

+$0.73 EV

9
Mega Lucario ex - 160/132

Mega Lucario ex - 160/132

#160/132 · Ultra Rare

1 in 265 packs

$15.83

+$0.54 EV

10
Vulpix - 138/132

Vulpix - 138/132

#138/132 · Illustration Rare

1 in 198 packs

$11.80

+$0.54 EV

Assumptions

  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 5,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Mega-Evolution-Pull-Rates/40cbeedc-21ce-473b-aef1-74e3969d9f91/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-mega-evolution-pull-rates/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/12/16/mega-evolution-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
  • Sealed price ($80.97) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($1.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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