Ascended Heroes ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $90.71.
9 packs plus $10.06 in promo value produce $78.64 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−54%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $169.35.
Expected Loss
−$90.71
The average opening result after paying $169.35 sealed.
Open Average
$78.64
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$50.33
Expected range $1.61-$13.63 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.62
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 2,000 pack openings.
$7.62 × 9 packs = $68.58
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$68.58 + $10.06 promos = $78.64
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$78.64 × 0.64 = $50.33
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $78.64 ÷ $169.35 = 46.4% • Cash-out: $50.33 ÷ $169.35 = 29.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.62 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 22 | $270.20 | 1.44% | $3.89 | $35.01 | 51.0% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 33 | $12.39 | 11.25% | $1.39 | $12.51 | 18.2% |
| Mega Attack Rare(MAR) | 7 | $28.02 | 3.47% | $0.97 | $8.73 | 12.7% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $500.13 | 0.19% | $0.95 | $8.55 | 12.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 39 | $1.41 | 20.37% | $0.29 | $2.61 | 3.8% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 14 | $2.63 | 4.81% | $0.13 | $1.17 | 1.7% |
| Total | $7.62 | $68.58 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Gengar ex - 284/217
#284/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1340.79
+$7.92 EV
Pikachu ex - 276/217
#276/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1322.80
+$7.83 EV
Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217
#294/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$663.25
+$5.67 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217
#290/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$818.83
+$4.86 EV
Mega Gengar ex - 269/217
#269/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$89.08
+$3.96 EV
Psyduck - 226/217
#226/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$111.97
+$3.42 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217
#295/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$337.00
+$2.88 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217
#271/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$60.99
+$2.70 EV
Team Rocket's Mimikyu - 238/217
#238/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$30.63
+$0.90 EV
Erika's Tangela - 218/217
#218/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$27.55
+$0.81 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 2,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($169.35) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($169.35) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($10.06) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes ETB | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | $513.03 | $205.96 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle | $1321.75 | $45.72 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Tech Sticker Collection | $213.64 | $23.61 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | $27.54 | $15.24 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Premium Poster Collection | $415.63 | $85.89 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box | $86.65 | $31.13 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection | $64.18 | $24.86 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | Paldea Evolved | $564.05 | $227.94 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |