Ascended Heroes ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $78.81.
9 packs plus $8.70 in promo value produce $71.16 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−53%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $149.97.
Expected Loss
−$78.81
The average opening result after paying $149.97 sealed.
Open Average
$71.16
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$45.54
Expected range $2.14-$11.74 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $6.94
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 2,000 pack openings.
$6.94 × 9 packs = $62.46
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$62.46 + $8.70 promos = $71.16
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$71.16 × 0.64 = $45.54
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $71.16 ÷ $149.97 = 47.5% • Cash-out: $45.54 ÷ $149.97 = 30.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $6.94 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 22 | $227.88 | 1.44% | $3.28 | $29.52 | 47.3% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 33 | $12.17 | 11.25% | $1.37 | $12.33 | 19.7% |
| Mega Attack Rare(MAR) | 7 | $28.85 | 3.47% | $1.00 | $9.00 | 14.4% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $390.39 | 0.19% | $0.74 | $6.66 | 10.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 39 | $1.78 | 20.37% | $0.36 | $3.24 | 5.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 14 | $3.99 | 4.81% | $0.19 | $1.71 | 2.7% |
| Total | $6.94 | $62.46 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Gengar ex - 284/217
#284/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1215.43
+$7.20 EV
Pikachu ex - 276/217
#276/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$841.60
+$4.95 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217
#290/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$727.25
+$4.32 EV
Mega Gengar ex - 269/217
#269/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$95.30
+$4.23 EV
Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217
#294/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$493.52
+$4.23 EV
Psyduck - 226/217
#226/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$85.30
+$2.61 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217
#271/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$55.04
+$2.43 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217
#295/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$287.25
+$2.43 EV
Team Rocket's Mimikyu - 238/217
#238/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$30.31
+$0.90 EV
Erika's Tangela - 218/217
#218/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$25.53
+$0.81 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 2,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($149.97) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($149.97) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($8.70) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes ETB | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle | $1136.52 | $41.64 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Tech Sticker Collection | $165.15 | $21.57 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | $22.98 | $13.88 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Premium Poster Collection | $309.76 | $79.09 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box | $76.36 | $28.41 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection | $53.38 | $22.82 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | $11.97 | $6.94 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $187.52 | $73.05 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution ETB | Mega Evolution | $89.41 | $34.33 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |