Chaos Rising
Don't rip Chaos Rising right now.
−44%
$241.12 sealed → $133.92 EV | EV/pack: $3.72
Even the best product loses −$107.20 on average.
If you must open something: Chaos Rising Booster Box loses the least at −$107.20.
Best product to check
Chaos Rising Booster Box
MSRP $143.64 • Market price $241.12 • Return −44%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
Daily EV tracking started. Chart appears after two refreshes.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 12 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Mega Greninja ex - 116/086
#116/086
SIR$420.79
EV: $0.78
Mega Greninja ex - 122/086
#122/086
MHR$329.01
EV: $0.30
Froakie - 088/086
#088/086
IR$23.63
EV: $0.24
View 7 more chase cards
Frogadier - 089/086
#089/086
IR$20.00
EV: $0.20
Xerneas - 091/086
#091/086
IR$19.91
EV: $0.20
Ampharos - 090/086
#090/086
IR$18.07
EV: $0.18
Cinccino ex - 119/086
#119/086
SIR$91.31
EV: $0.17
Mega Dragalge ex - 118/086
#118/086
SIR$75.29
EV: $0.14
Mega Greninja ex - 100/086
#100/086
UR$26.30
EV: $0.12
Mega Floette ex - 117/086
#117/086
SIR$62.08
EV: $0.11
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $122.64 | $37.92–$420.79 | 1.11% | $1.36 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 11 | $11.55 | $3.08–$23.63 | 11.10% | $1.28 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 18 | $6.98 | $2.22–$26.30 | 8.33% | $0.58 |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 1 | $329.01 | $329.01–$329.01 | 0.09% | $0.30 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $1.00 | $0.33–$4.00 | 20.00% | $0.20 |
| Total EV / Pack | $3.72 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 20.00% | 1 in 5 | 5,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 11.10% | 1 in 9 | 5,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 5,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.11% | 1 in 90 | 5,000 |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 0.09% | 1 in 1099 | 5,000 |
Sources: Community pull-rate infographic (5000+ packs sample) — Mega Evolution Chaos Rising
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Chaos Rising worth opening?
- At current market prices, Chaos Rising Booster Box loses $107.20 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Chaos Rising booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Chaos Rising booster pack is $3.72 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Chaos Rising products?
- Chaos Rising Booster Box launched at $143.64 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $241.12 to see how far Chaos Rising pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Chaos Rising?
- The most valuable cards in Chaos Rising are Mega Greninja ex - 116/086 ($420.79), Mega Greninja ex - 122/086 ($329.01), Froakie - 088/086 ($23.63).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Chaos Rising?
- Pull rates are based on 5,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Chaos Rising product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Chaos Rising Booster Box offers the best return at −44% (−$107.20). It contains 36 packs and is priced at $241.12.
- How often are Chaos Rising prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Chaos Rising?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Chaos Rising Booster Box, cash-out EV is $85.71 versus $133.92 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Chaos Rising?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 5,000 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of May 2026, Chaos Rising products lose an average of $37.96 (−56%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 5,000+ pack openings.