Don't rip Scarlet & Violet right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $183.75 on average.
If you must open something: Scarlet & Violet Booster Box loses the least at −$183.75.
All 8 Products
Scarlet & Violet Booster Box
36 packs
−$183.75
−74% return
$249.99 sealed → $66.24 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
−$18.92
−76% return
$24.94 sealed → $6.02 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister
1 pack
−$6.96
−77% return
$9.05 sealed → $2.09 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box
4 packs
−$28.75
−77% return
$37.11 sealed → $8.36 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack
1 pack
−$6.35
−78% return
$8.19 sealed → $1.84 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet ETB
9 packs
−$83.38
−83% return
$100.94 sealed → $17.56 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle
6 packs
−$65.67
−86% return
$76.71 sealed → $11.04 EV
See full breakdown →
Scarlet & Violet PC ETB
11 packs
−$281.65
−93% return
$303.89 sealed → $22.24 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198
Special Illustration Rare$61.87
EV: $0.19
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198
Illustration Rare$37.95
EV: $0.12
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198
Illustration Rare$33.19
EV: $0.11
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198
Illustration Rare$30.14
EV: $0.10
Riolu - 215/198
#215/198
Illustration Rare$26.13
EV: $0.08
Slowpoke - 204/198
#204/198
Illustration Rare$25.85
EV: $0.08
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198
Special Illustration Rare$22.98
EV: $0.07
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198
Special Illustration Rare$19.23
EV: $0.06
Koraidon ex - 247/198
#247/198
Special Illustration Rare$15.58
EV: $0.05
Greavard - 214/198
#214/198
Illustration Rare$14.87
EV: $0.05
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $12.26 | 7.70% | $0.94 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $15.68 | 3.10% | $0.49 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.06 | 6.70% | $0.20 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $5.97 | 1.90% | $0.11 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.72 | 14.30% | $0.10 |
| Total EV / Pack | $1.84 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 14.30% | 1 in 7 | 8,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 8,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.70% | 1 in 15 | 8,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 3.10% | 1 in 32 | 8,000 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 1.90% | 1 in 53 | 8,000 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Scarlet & Violet worth opening?
- At current market prices, Scarlet & Violet Booster Box loses $183.75 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Scarlet & Violet booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Scarlet & Violet booster pack is $1.84 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Scarlet & Violet?
- The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet are Gardevoir ex - 245/198 ($61.87), Drowzee - 210/198 ($37.95), Kirlia - 212/198 ($33.19).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Scarlet & Violet?
- Pull rates are based on 8,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Scarlet & Violet products lose an average of $84.43 (−80%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 8,000+ pack openings.