Don't rip Mega Evolution right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $4.60 on average.
If you must open something: Mega Evolution Booster Pack loses the least at −$4.60.
All 10 Products
Mega Evolution Booster Pack
1 pack
−$4.60
−69% return
$6.70 sealed → $2.10 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box
36 packs
−$194.79
−72% return
$270.39 sealed → $75.60 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution Booster Box
36 packs
−$201.50
−73% return
$277.10 sealed → $75.60 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution Booster Bundle
6 packs
−$35.09
−74% return
$47.69 sealed → $12.60 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Heroes Mini Tin
2 packs
−$12.45
−75% return
$16.65 sealed → $4.20 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution ETB
9 packs
−$61.07
−75% return
$80.97 sealed → $19.90 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
−$21.57
−76% return
$28.37 sealed → $6.80 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution Single Pack Blister
1 pack
−$8.83
−79% return
$11.18 sealed → $2.35 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution Build & Battle Box
4 packs
−$38.53
−80% return
$47.93 sealed → $9.40 EV
See full breakdown →
Mega Evolution PC ETB
11 packs
−$146.74
−85% return
$171.84 sealed → $25.10 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Mega Gardevoir ex - 178/132
#178/132
Special Illustration Rare$174.77
EV: $0.17
Mega Lucario ex - 179/132
#179/132
Special Illustration Rare$159.79
EV: $0.16
Mega Venusaur ex - 177/132
#177/132
Special Illustration Rare$122.65
EV: $0.12
Mega Lucario ex - 188/132
#188/132
Mega Hyper Rare$280.04
EV: $0.11
Mega Gardevoir ex - 187/132
#187/132
Mega Hyper Rare$221.86
EV: $0.09
Bulbasaur - 133/132
#133/132
Illustration Rare$17.44
EV: $0.09
Ivysaur - 134/132
#134/132
Illustration Rare$17.13
EV: $0.09
Lillie's Determination - 169/132
#169/132
Ultra Rare$21.50
EV: $0.08
Lillie's Determination - 184/132
#184/132
Special Illustration Rare$80.43
EV: $0.08
Mega Latias ex - 181/132
#181/132
Special Illustration Rare$76.38
EV: $0.08
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $80.22 | 0.99% | $0.79 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 22 | $4.88 | 11.10% | $0.54 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 22 | $5.12 | 8.30% | $0.43 |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $250.95 | 0.08% | $0.20 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $0.69 | 20.00% | $0.14 |
| Total EV / Pack | $2.10 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 20.00% | 1 in 5 | 5,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 11.10% | 1 in 9 | 5,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8.30% | 1 in 12 | 5,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 0.99% | 1 in 101 | 5,000 |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 0.08% | 1 in 1259 | 5,000 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Mega-Evolution-Pull-Rates/40cbeedc-21ce-473b-aef1-74e3969d9f91/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-mega-evolution-pull-rates/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/12/16/mega-evolution-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Mega Evolution worth opening?
- At current market prices, Mega Evolution Booster Pack loses $4.60 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Mega Evolution booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Mega Evolution booster pack is $2.10 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Mega Evolution?
- The most valuable cards in Mega Evolution are Mega Gardevoir ex - 178/132 ($174.77), Mega Lucario ex - 179/132 ($159.79), Mega Venusaur ex - 177/132 ($122.65).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Mega Evolution?
- Pull rates are based on 5,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Mega Evolution products lose an average of $72.52 (−76%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 5,000+ pack openings.