Lost Origin ETB
8 packs + $1.00 in promos
−$116.13
you lose on avg
$44.68
market EV
$160.81
sealed price
−72% return
Your Price Calculator
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−$116.13
27.8% return
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $5.46
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.
$5.46 × 8 packs = $43.68
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$43.68 + $1.00 promos = $44.68
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$44.68 ÷ $160.81 = 27.8% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $5.46 EV per pack. For this 8-pack product, multiply by 8.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 44 | $21.78 | 23.54% | $5.13 | $41.04 | 94.0% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 21 | $6.19 | 3.20% | $0.20 | $1.60 | 3.7% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 22 | $0.39 | 26.46% | $0.10 | $0.80 | 1.8% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $0.68 | 4.04% | $0.03 | $0.24 | 0.5% |
| Total | $5.46 | $43.68 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Lost Origin, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/196 · Ultra Rare
1 in 187 packs
$688.15
+$29.45 EV
Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
#180/196 · Ultra Rare
1 in 187 packs
$157.00
+$6.72 EV
Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/196 · Ultra Rare
1 in 187 packs
$24.44
+$1.05 EV
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)
#201/196 · Secret Rare
1 in 656 packs
$24.10
+$0.29 EV
Gengar
#066/196 · Holo Rare
1 in 83 packs
$2.62
+$0.25 EV
Giratina VSTAR (212) (Secret)
#212/196 · Secret Rare
1 in 656 packs
$14.06
+$0.17 EV
Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret)
#199/196 · Secret Rare
1 in 656 packs
$12.29
+$0.15 EV
Radiant Gardevoir
#069/196 · Radiant Rare
1 in 74 packs
$0.88
+$0.09 EV
Snorlax
#143/196 · Holo Rare
1 in 83 packs
$0.95
+$0.09 EV
Radiant Steelix
#124/196 · Radiant Rare
1 in 74 packs
$0.63
+$0.07 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($160.81) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.