Rip or Flip
Lost Origin Sleeved Booster

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$73.89

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$69.40 (1546%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDLost Origin1 pack

Lost Origin Sleeved Booster

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $68.33.

1 packs produce $5.56 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−92%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $73.89.

Expected Loss

−$68.33

The average opening result after paying $73.89 sealed.

Open Average

$5.56

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$3.56

Expected range $0.00-$28.89 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $5.56

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.

02

$5.56 × 1 packs = $5.56

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$5.56 = $5.56

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$5.56 × 0.64 = $3.56

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $5.56 ÷ $73.89 = 7.5%Cash-out: $3.56 ÷ $73.89 = 4.8%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $5.56 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)44$21.9423.54%$5.16$5.1692.8%
Secret Rare(SR)21$6.653.20%$0.21$0.213.8%
Holo Rare(H)22$0.5626.46%$0.15$0.152.7%
Radiant Rare(RR)3$0.964.04%$0.04$0.040.7%
Total$5.56$5.56100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Lost Origin, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($73.89) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($73.89) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Lost Origin Booster Box$718.21$200.16−72%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin ETB$180.86$45.48−75%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin PC ETB$299.56$57.60−81%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Booster Bundle$140.00$33.36−76%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister$90.57$17.18−81%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Build & Battle Box$69.68$25.02−64%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Sleeved Booster$73.89$5.56−92%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Booster Pack$14.63$5.56−62%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

PackSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Ascended Heroes Booster PackAscended Heroes$12.20$7.10−42%KEEP SEALED
Black Bolt Booster PackBlack Bolt$9.86$4.72−52%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster PackWhite Flare$9.17$4.33−53%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster PackPerfect Order$6.71$2.89−57%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster PackShrouded Fable$8.94$3.77−58%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order 3 Pack BlisterPerfect Order$22.77$9.17−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack BlisterPhantasmal Flames$9.87$3.97−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Booster PackPhantasmal Flames$9.45$3.72−61%KEEP SEALED
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