Lost Origin
Don't rip Lost Origin right now.
−62%
$14.72 sealed → $5.63 EV | EV/pack: $5.63
Even the best product loses −$9.09 on average.
If you must open something: Lost Origin Booster Pack loses the least at −$9.09.
Best product to check
Lost Origin Booster Pack
MSRP $4.49 • Market price $14.72 • Return −62%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 8 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/196
UR$670.86
EV: $3.59
Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
#180/196
UR$181.19
EV: $0.97
Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/196
UR$28.56
EV: $0.15
View 7 more chase cards
Galarian Perrserker V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/196
UR$18.11
EV: $0.10
Giratina V (Full Art)
#185/196
UR$14.13
EV: $0.08
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)
#201/196
SR$24.81
EV: $0.04
Gengar
#066/196
H$2.55
EV: $0.03
Snorlax
#143/196
H$2.31
EV: $0.03
Lady (Full Art)
#193/196
UR$4.37
EV: $0.02
Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret)
#199/196
SR$14.94
EV: $0.02
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 44 | $22.25 | $0.50–$670.86 | 23.54% | $5.24 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 21 | $6.46 | $2.09–$24.81 | 3.20% | $0.21 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 22 | $0.51 | $0.15–$2.55 | 26.46% | $0.14 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $0.90 | $0.63–$1.22 | 4.04% | $0.04 |
| Total EV / Pack | $5.63 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 26.46% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.54% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.04% | 1 in 25 | 718 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | 718 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Lost Origin worth opening?
- At current market prices, Lost Origin Booster Pack loses $9.09 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Lost Origin booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Lost Origin booster pack is $5.63 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Lost Origin products?
- Lost Origin Booster Pack launched at $4.49 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $14.72 to see how far Lost Origin pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Lost Origin?
- The most valuable cards in Lost Origin are Giratina V (Alternate Full Art) ($670.86), Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art) ($181.19), Rotom V (Alternate Full Art) ($28.56).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Lost Origin?
- Pull rates are based on 718 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Lost Origin product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Lost Origin Booster Pack offers the best return at −62% (−$9.09). It contains 1 pack and is priced at $14.72.
- How often are Lost Origin prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Lost Origin?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Lost Origin Booster Pack, cash-out EV is $3.60 versus $5.63 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Lost Origin?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 718 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of April 2026, Lost Origin products lose an average of $148.64 (−75%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 718+ pack openings.