Don't rip Lost Origin right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $8.51 on average.
If you must open something: Lost Origin Booster Pack loses the least at −$8.51.
All 7 Products
Lost Origin Booster Pack
1 pack
−$8.51
−61% return
$13.97 sealed → $5.46 EV
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Build & Battle Box
4 packs
−$40.54
−64% return
$63.38 sealed → $22.84 EV
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin ETB
8 packs
−$116.13
−72% return
$160.81 sealed → $44.68 EV
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Booster Box
36 packs
−$536.51
−73% return
$733.07 sealed → $196.56 EV
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin PC ETB
10 packs
−$176.35
−76% return
$232.95 sealed → $56.60 EV
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Booster Bundle
6 packs
−$103.50
−76% return
$136.26 sealed → $32.76 EV
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
−$55.68
−77% return
$72.56 sealed → $16.88 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/196
Ultra Rare$688.15
EV: $3.68
Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
#180/196
Ultra Rare$157.00
EV: $0.84
Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/196
Ultra Rare$24.44
EV: $0.13
Galarian Perrserker V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/196
Ultra Rare$15.05
EV: $0.08
Giratina V (Full Art)
#185/196
Ultra Rare$11.84
EV: $0.06
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)
#201/196
Secret Rare$24.10
EV: $0.04
Gengar
#066/196
Holo Rare$2.62
EV: $0.03
Giratina VSTAR (212) (Secret)
#212/196
Secret Rare$14.06
EV: $0.02
Lady (Full Art)
#193/196
Ultra Rare$3.93
EV: $0.02
Arezu (Full Art)
#189/196
Ultra Rare$3.90
EV: $0.02
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 44 | $21.78 | 23.54% | $5.13 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 21 | $6.19 | 3.20% | $0.20 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 22 | $0.39 | 26.46% | $0.10 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $0.68 | 4.04% | $0.03 |
| Total EV / Pack | $5.46 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 26.46% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.54% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.04% | 1 in 25 | 718 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | 718 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Lost Origin worth opening?
- At current market prices, Lost Origin Booster Pack loses $8.51 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Lost Origin booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Lost Origin booster pack is $5.46 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Lost Origin?
- The most valuable cards in Lost Origin are Giratina V (Alternate Full Art) ($688.15), Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art) ($157.00), Rotom V (Alternate Full Art) ($24.44).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Lost Origin?
- Pull rates are based on 718 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Lost Origin products lose an average of $148.17 (−71%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 718+ pack openings.