Rip or Flip
Lost Origin Booster Bundle

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$173.43

MSRP

$26.94

Spread: +$146.49 (544%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDLost Origin6 packs

Lost Origin Booster Bundle

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $133.11.

6 packs produce $40.32 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−77%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $173.43.

Expected Loss

−$133.11

The average opening result after paying $173.43 sealed.

Open Average

$40.32

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$25.80

Expected range $0.00-$36.42 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $6.72

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.

02

$6.72 × 6 packs = $40.32

This product contains 6 booster packs.

03

$40.32 = $40.32

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$40.32 × 0.64 = $25.80

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $40.32 ÷ $173.43 = 23.3%Cash-out: $25.80 ÷ $173.43 = 14.9%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $6.72 EV per pack for this 6-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/6pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)44$26.7423.54%$6.29$37.7493.6%
Secret Rare(SR)21$6.983.20%$0.22$1.323.3%
Holo Rare(H)22$0.6426.46%$0.17$1.022.5%
Radiant Rare(RR)3$0.934.04%$0.04$0.240.6%
Total$6.72$40.32100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Lost Origin, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $26.94. Current sealed price ($173.43) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($173.43) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

Partner

You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.

Try Free for 1 Month

Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Lost Origin Booster Box$779.03$241.92−69%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin ETB$228.46$54.76−76%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin PC ETB$341.32$69.20−80%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Booster Bundle$173.43$40.32−77%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister$83.00$20.66−75%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Build & Battle Box$74.05$29.91−60%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Sleeved Booster$79.84$6.72−92%KEEP SEALED
Lost Origin Booster Pack$16.31$6.72−59%KEEP SEALED

Compare Bundles Across Sets

See how this bundle stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

BundleSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Chaos Rising Booster BundleChaos Rising$45.31$22.14−51%KEEP SEALED
Black Bolt Booster BundleBlack Bolt$72.70$35.04−52%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster BundleWhite Flare$68.63$32.04−53%KEEP SEALED
Temporal Forces Art BundleTemporal Forces$32.14$14.20−56%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster BundleShrouded Fable$60.06$25.98−57%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Booster Pack Art BundleChaos Rising$37.07$14.76−60%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster BundlePerfect Order$41.27$16.20−61%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Art BundlePerfect Order$30.23$10.80−64%KEEP SEALED
← Back to all Lost Origin products