Rip or Flip
Sword & Shield ETB

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$183.89

MSRP

$49.99

Spread: +$133.90 (268%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDSword & Shield8 packs+ $1.00 promos

Sword & Shield ETB

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $169.45.

8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $14.44 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−92%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $183.89.

Expected Loss

−$169.45

The average opening result after paying $183.89 sealed.

Open Average

$14.44

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$9.24

Expected range $0.00-$3.73 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $1.68

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.

02

$1.68 × 8 packs = $13.44

This product contains 8 booster packs.

03

$13.44 + $1.00 promos = $14.44

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$14.44 × 0.64 = $9.24

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $14.44 ÷ $183.89 = 7.8%Cash-out: $9.24 ÷ $183.89 = 5.0%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.68 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/8pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)37$5.6819.50%$1.11$8.8866.1%
Secret Rare(SR)14$15.592.40%$0.37$2.9622.0%
Holo Rare(H)17$0.8922.00%$0.20$1.6011.9%
Total$1.68$13.44100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($183.89) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($183.89) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Sword & Shield Booster Box$680.56$60.48−91%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield ETB$183.89$14.44−92%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister$49.99$5.54−89%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box$66.92$13.40−80%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster$12.38$1.68−86%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Booster Pack$9.05$1.68−81%KEEP SEALED

Compare ETBs Across Sets

See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

ETBSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Obsidian Flames PC ETBObsidian Flames$641.21$316.90−51%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet PC ETBScarlet & Violet$293.86$145.12−51%KEEP SEALED
Mega Evolution PC ETBMega Evolution$229.79$110.96−52%KEEP SEALED
Ascended Heroes ETBAscended Heroes$149.97$71.16−53%KEEP SEALED
Stellar Crown PC ETBStellar Crown$158.04$65.50−59%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable PC ETBShrouded Fable$148.22$60.25−59%KEEP SEALED
Ascended Heroes PC ETBAscended Heroes$481.05$189.76−61%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable ETBShrouded Fable$89.43$35.21−61%KEEP SEALED
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