Rip or Flip
Sword & Shield ETB

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$189.14

MSRP

$49.99

Spread: +$139.15 (278%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDSword & Shield8 packs+ $1.00 promos

Sword & Shield ETB

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $173.10.

8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $16.04 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−92%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $189.14.

Expected Loss

−$173.10

The average opening result after paying $189.14 sealed.

Open Average

$16.04

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$10.27

Expected range $0.00-$4.28 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $1.88

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.

02

$1.88 × 8 packs = $15.04

This product contains 8 booster packs.

03

$15.04 + $1.00 promos = $16.04

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$16.04 × 0.64 = $10.27

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $16.04 ÷ $189.14 = 8.5%Cash-out: $10.27 ÷ $189.14 = 5.4%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.88 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/8pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)37$6.4219.50%$1.25$10.0066.5%
Secret Rare(SR)14$16.942.40%$0.41$3.2821.8%
Holo Rare(H)17$1.0122.00%$0.22$1.7611.7%
Total$1.88$15.04100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($189.14) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($189.14) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Sword & Shield Booster Box$684.49$67.68−90%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield ETB$189.14$16.04−92%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister$53.64$6.14−89%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box$72.50$15.14−79%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster$13.08$1.88−86%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Booster Pack$9.07$1.88−79%KEEP SEALED

Compare ETBs Across Sets

See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

ETBSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Scarlet & Violet PC ETBScarlet & Violet$299.90$154.30−49%KEEP SEALED
Obsidian Flames PC ETBObsidian Flames$706.33$360.43−49%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising ETBChaos Rising$82.24$39.97−51%KEEP SEALED
Ascended Heroes ETBAscended Heroes$169.35$78.64−54%KEEP SEALED
Stellar Crown PC ETBStellar Crown$172.95$73.73−57%KEEP SEALED
Mega Evolution PC ETBMega Evolution$277.36$116.21−58%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable PC ETBShrouded Fable$165.91$68.14−59%KEEP SEALED
Journey Together PC ETBJourney Together$208.09$85.17−59%KEEP SEALED
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