Rip or Flip
Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$12.68

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$8.19 (182%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDSword & Shield1 pack

Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $10.99.

1 packs produce $1.69 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−87%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $12.68.

Expected Loss

−$10.99

The average opening result after paying $12.68 sealed.

Open Average

$1.69

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$1.08

Expected range $0.00-$3.79 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $1.69

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.

02

$1.69 × 1 packs = $1.69

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$1.69 = $1.69

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$1.69 × 0.64 = $1.08

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $1.69 ÷ $12.68 = 13.3%Cash-out: $1.08 ÷ $12.68 = 8.5%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.69 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)37$5.7519.50%$1.12$1.1266.3%
Secret Rare(SR)14$15.652.40%$0.38$0.3822.5%
Holo Rare(H)17$0.8722.00%$0.19$0.1911.2%
Total$1.69$1.69100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($12.68) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($12.68) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Sword & Shield Booster Box$680.56$60.84−91%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield ETB$184.91$14.52−92%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister$49.99$5.57−89%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box$68.28$13.54−80%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster$12.68$1.69−87%KEEP SEALED
Sword & Shield Booster Pack$9.09$1.69−81%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

PackSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Ascended Heroes Booster PackAscended Heroes$12.20$7.10−42%KEEP SEALED
Black Bolt Booster PackBlack Bolt$9.86$4.72−52%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster PackWhite Flare$9.17$4.33−53%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster PackPerfect Order$6.71$2.89−57%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster PackShrouded Fable$8.94$3.77−58%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order 3 Pack BlisterPerfect Order$22.77$9.17−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack BlisterPhantasmal Flames$9.87$3.97−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Booster PackPhantasmal Flames$9.45$3.72−61%KEEP SEALED
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