Sword & Shield Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $7.19.
1 packs produce $1.88 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−79%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.07.
Expected Loss
−$7.19
The average opening result after paying $9.07 sealed.
Open Average
$1.88
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$1.20
Expected range $0.00-$4.28 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.88
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.88 × 1 packs = $1.88
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$1.88 = $1.88
No promo value applied for this product.
$1.88 × 0.64 = $1.20
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $1.88 ÷ $9.07 = 20.7% • Cash-out: $1.20 ÷ $9.07 = 13.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.88 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 37 | $6.42 | 19.50% | $1.25 | $1.25 | 66.5% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 14 | $16.94 | 2.40% | $0.41 | $0.41 | 21.8% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $1.01 | 22.00% | $0.22 | $0.22 | 11.7% |
| Total | $1.88 | $1.88 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Snorlax VMAX
#142/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$61.09
+$0.32 EV
Marnie (Full Art)
#200/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$36.74
+$0.19 EV
Snorlax V (Full Art)
#197/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$31.63
+$0.17 EV
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
#206/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$90.49
+$0.16 EV
Gengar
#085/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$8.95
+$0.12 EV
Morpeko VMAX (Secret)
#204/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$23.72
+$0.04 EV
Marnie (Secret)
#208/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$21.72
+$0.04 EV
Toxicroak
#124/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$1.05
+$0.01 EV
Marnie
#169/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$0.90
+$0.01 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($9.07) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($9.07) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sword & Shield Booster Box | $684.49 | $67.68 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield ETB | $189.14 | $16.04 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister | $53.64 | $6.14 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box | $72.50 | $15.14 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster | $13.08 | $1.88 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Booster Pack | $9.07 | $1.88 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.20 | $11.57 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $21.66 | $11.57 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $6.97 | $3.69 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.79 | $3.69 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $25.91 | $11.57 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.26 | $2.70 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.40 | $2.70 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |