Sword & Shield Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $616.81.
36 packs produce $67.68 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−90%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $684.49.
Expected Loss
−$616.81
The average opening result after paying $684.49 sealed.
Open Average
$67.68
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$43.32
Expected range $0.00-$4.28 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.88
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.88 × 36 packs = $67.68
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$67.68 = $67.68
No promo value applied for this product.
$67.68 × 0.64 = $43.32
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $67.68 ÷ $684.49 = 9.9% • Cash-out: $43.32 ÷ $684.49 = 6.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.88 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 37 | $6.42 | 19.50% | $1.25 | $45.00 | 66.5% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 14 | $16.94 | 2.40% | $0.41 | $14.76 | 21.8% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $1.01 | 22.00% | $0.22 | $7.92 | 11.7% |
| Total | $1.88 | $67.68 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Snorlax VMAX
#142/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$61.09
+$11.52 EV
Marnie (Full Art)
#200/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$36.74
+$6.84 EV
Snorlax V (Full Art)
#197/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$31.63
+$6.12 EV
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
#206/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$90.49
+$5.76 EV
Gengar
#085/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$8.95
+$4.32 EV
Morpeko VMAX (Secret)
#204/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$23.72
+$1.44 EV
Marnie (Secret)
#208/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$21.72
+$1.44 EV
Toxicroak
#124/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$1.05
+$0.36 EV
Marnie
#169/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$0.90
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($684.49) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($684.49) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sword & Shield Booster Box | $684.49 | $67.68 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield ETB | $189.14 | $16.04 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister | $53.64 | $6.14 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box | $72.50 | $15.14 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster | $13.08 | $1.88 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Booster Pack | $9.07 | $1.88 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Box | Chaos Rising | $238.96 | $132.84 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $227.93 | $97.20 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $272.88 | $107.28 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $332.86 | $127.80 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $443.72 | $144.72 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $503.62 | $156.96 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |