Sword & Shield Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $620.08.
36 packs produce $60.48 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−91%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $680.56.
Expected Loss
−$620.08
The average opening result after paying $680.56 sealed.
Open Average
$60.48
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$38.71
Expected range $0.00-$3.73 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.68
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.68 × 36 packs = $60.48
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$60.48 = $60.48
No promo value applied for this product.
$60.48 × 0.64 = $38.71
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $60.48 ÷ $680.56 = 8.9% • Cash-out: $38.71 ÷ $680.56 = 5.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.68 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 37 | $5.68 | 19.50% | $1.11 | $39.96 | 66.1% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 14 | $15.59 | 2.40% | $0.37 | $13.32 | 22.0% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $0.89 | 22.00% | $0.20 | $7.20 | 11.9% |
| Total | $1.68 | $60.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Snorlax VMAX
#142/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$48.79
+$9.36 EV
Marnie (Full Art)
#200/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$37.72
+$7.20 EV
Snorlax V (Full Art)
#197/202 · UR
1 in 190 packs
$26.31
+$5.04 EV
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
#206/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$84.10
+$5.04 EV
Gengar
#085/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$7.03
+$3.24 EV
Marnie (Secret)
#208/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$19.53
+$1.08 EV
Zacian V (Secret)
#211/202 · SR
1 in 583 packs
$16.35
+$1.08 EV
Toxicroak
#124/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$1.02
+$0.36 EV
Marnie
#169/202 · H
1 in 77 packs
$0.82
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($680.56) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($680.56) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sword & Shield Booster Box | $680.56 | $60.48 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield ETB | $183.89 | $14.44 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister | $49.99 | $5.54 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box | $66.92 | $13.40 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Sleeved Booster | $12.38 | $1.68 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Sword & Shield Booster Pack | $9.05 | $1.68 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $205.37 | $104.76 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $260.71 | $97.56 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $394.47 | $132.48 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $291.59 | $97.92 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $251.15 | $84.24 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $447.78 | $130.68 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $308.27 | $89.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | Twilight Masquerade | $337.27 | $96.48 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |