Don't rip Sword & Shield right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $6.45 on average.
If you must open something: Sword & Shield Booster Pack loses the least at −$6.45.
All 5 Products
Sword & Shield Booster Pack
1 pack
−$6.45
−82% return
$7.91 sealed → $1.46 EV
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box
4 packs
−$57.81
−89% return
$64.65 sealed → $6.84 EV
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
−$45.11
−90% return
$49.99 sealed → $4.88 EV
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield Booster Box
36 packs
−$603.11
−92% return
$655.67 sealed → $52.56 EV
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield ETB
8 packs
−$165.59
−93% return
$178.27 sealed → $12.68 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Snorlax VMAX
#142/202
Ultra Rare$42.64
EV: $0.22
Marnie (Full Art)
#200/202
Ultra Rare$36.33
EV: $0.19
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
#206/202
Secret Rare$76.95
EV: $0.13
Snorlax V (Full Art)
#197/202
Ultra Rare$18.95
EV: $0.10
Gengar
#085/202
Holo Rare$4.88
EV: $0.06
Sableye V (Full Art)
#194/202
Ultra Rare$7.07
EV: $0.04
Morpeko V (Full Art)
#190/202
Ultra Rare$6.63
EV: $0.03
Snorlax V
#141/202
Ultra Rare$6.04
EV: $0.03
Marnie (Secret)
#208/202
Secret Rare$18.36
EV: $0.03
Quick Ball (Secret)
#216/202
Secret Rare$16.78
EV: $0.03
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 37 | $4.96 | 19.50% | $0.97 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 14 | $14.55 | 2.40% | $0.35 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $0.63 | 22.00% | $0.14 |
| Total EV / Pack | $1.46 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 22.00% | 1 in 5 | 630 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 19.50% | 1 in 5 | 630 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 2.40% | 1 in 42 | 630 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Sword & Shield worth opening?
- At current market prices, Sword & Shield Booster Pack loses $6.45 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Sword & Shield booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Sword & Shield booster pack is $1.46 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Sword & Shield?
- The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield are Snorlax VMAX ($42.64), Marnie (Full Art) ($36.33), Snorlax VMAX (Secret) ($76.95).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Sword & Shield?
- Pull rates are based on 630 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Sword & Shield products lose an average of $175.61 (−89%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 630+ pack openings.