Shining Fates ETB
10 packs + $2.00 in promos
−$107.29
you lose on avg
$8.10
market EV
$115.39
sealed price
−93% return
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−$107.29
7.0% return
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $0.61
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$0.61 × 10 packs = $6.10
This product contains 10 booster packs.
$6.10 + $2.00 promos = $8.10
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$8.10 ÷ $115.39 = 7.0% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $0.61 EV per pack. For this 10-pack product, multiply by 10.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/10pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23 | $2.29 | 18.00% | $0.41 | $4.10 | 67.2% |
| Amazing Rare(AR) | 3 | $1.66 | 5.70% | $0.09 | $0.90 | 14.8% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 1 | $5.04 | 1.10% | $0.06 | $0.60 | 9.8% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 7 | $0.23 | 22.00% | $0.05 | $0.50 | 8.2% |
| Total | $0.61 | $6.10 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Shining Fates, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Skyla (Full Art)
#072/072 · Ultra Rare
1 in 128 packs
$10.36
+$0.81 EV
Poke Kid (Full Art)
#070/072 · Ultra Rare
1 in 128 packs
$7.46
+$0.58 EV
Alcremie VMAX (Secret)
#073/072 · Secret Rare
1 in 91 packs
$5.04
+$0.55 EV
Kyogre
#021/072 · Amazing Rare
1 in 53 packs
$2.38
+$0.45 EV
Ball Guy (Full Art)
#065/072 · Ultra Rare
1 in 128 packs
$4.57
+$0.36 EV
Reshiram
#017/072 · Amazing Rare
1 in 53 packs
$1.32
+$0.25 EV
Yveltal
#046/072 · Amazing Rare
1 in 53 packs
$1.29
+$0.25 EV
Galarian Weezing
#042/072 · Holo Rare
1 in 32 packs
$0.26
+$0.08 EV
Indeedee
#056/072 · Holo Rare
1 in 32 packs
$0.26
+$0.08 EV
Thievul
#048/072 · Holo Rare
1 in 32 packs
$0.23
+$0.07 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-tcg/shining-fates, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-tcg/shining-fates-shiny-vault, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($115.39) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.