Rip or Flip
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Don't rip White Flare right now.

Keep it sealed.

$3.77EV per pack
High Variance Set38% of this set's EV comes from ultra-rare pulls (less than 1-in-50 odds). Most packs will return significantly less than the $3.77 average.

Even the best product loses $30.28 on average.

If you must open something: White Flare Booster Bundle loses the least at −$30.28.

Prices updated: 1h agoEV calculated: 1h agoPull rate confidence:Medium

All 6 Products

Chase Cards — What could you pull?
1
Victini - 172/086

Victini - 172/086

#172/086

Black White Rare

$393.62

EV: $0.39

2
Reshiram ex - 173/086

Reshiram ex - 173/086

#173/086

Black White Rare

$346.43

EV: $0.35

3
Reshiram ex - 166/086

Reshiram ex - 166/086

#166/086

Special Illustration Rare

$150.80

EV: $0.27

4
Hydreigon ex - 169/086

Hydreigon ex - 169/086

#169/086

Special Illustration Rare

$71.49

EV: $0.13

5
Zoroark - 143/086

Zoroark - 143/086

#143/086

Illustration Rare

$46.93

EV: $0.11

6
Oshawott - 105/086

Oshawott - 105/086

#105/086

Illustration Rare

$43.29

EV: $0.10

7
Hilda - 171/086

Hilda - 171/086

#171/086

Special Illustration Rare

$54.07

EV: $0.10

8
Chandelure - 103/086

Chandelure - 103/086

#103/086

Illustration Rare

$39.98

EV: $0.09

9
Keldeo ex - 167/086

Keldeo ex - 167/086

#167/086

Special Illustration Rare

$48.85

EV: $0.09

10
Samurott - 107/086

Samurott - 107/086

#107/086

Illustration Rare

$33.53

EV: $0.08

The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
EV breakdown by rarity tier
RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/Pack
Illustration Rare(IR)70$12.8216.40%$2.10
Black White Rare(BWR)2$370.030.20%$0.74
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)7$55.341.25%$0.69
Ultra Rare(UR)8$2.455.80%$0.14
Double Rare(RR)6$0.4721.10%$0.10
Total EV / Pack$3.77
Medium Confidence700 packs sampled
Pull rates by rarity tier
RarityPull RateOddsSample Size
Double Rare(RR)21.10%1 in 5700
Illustration Rare(IR)16.40%1 in 6700
Ultra Rare(UR)5.80%1 in 17700
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)1.25%1 in 80700
Black White Rare(BWR)0.20%1 in 500700

Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/

Frequently Asked Questions
Is White Flare worth opening?
At current market prices, White Flare Booster Bundle loses $30.28 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
What is the EV of a White Flare booster pack?
The expected value of a single White Flare booster pack is $3.77 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
What are the best cards to pull in White Flare?
The most valuable cards in White Flare are Victini - 172/086 ($393.62), Reshiram ex - 173/086 ($346.43), Reshiram ex - 166/086 ($150.80).
How often do you pull a chase card in White Flare?
Pull rates are based on 700 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.

As of February 2026, White Flare products lose an average of $44.43 (63%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 700+ pack openings.