Don't rip Black Bolt right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $24.27 on average.
If you must open something: Unova Victini Illustration Collection loses the least at −$24.27.
All 10 Products
Unova Victini Illustration Collection
5 packs
−$24.27
−53% return
$46.22 sealed → $21.95 EV
See full breakdown →
Unova Mini Tin
2 packs
−$9.32
−54% return
$17.30 sealed → $7.98 EV
See full breakdown →
Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection
3 packs
−$16.14
−56% return
$28.86 sealed → $12.72 EV
See full breakdown →
Black Bolt Booster Pack
1 pack
−$5.33
−57% return
$9.32 sealed → $3.99 EV
See full breakdown →
Black Bolt ETB
9 packs
−$54.60
−60% return
$91.51 sealed → $36.91 EV
See full breakdown →
Black Bolt Booster Bundle
6 packs
−$35.68
−60% return
$59.62 sealed → $23.94 EV
See full breakdown →
Unova Poster Collection
3 packs
−$19.65
−60% return
$32.62 sealed → $12.97 EV
See full breakdown →
Black Bolt Binder Collection
4 packs
−$38.13
−69% return
$55.09 sealed → $16.96 EV
See full breakdown →
Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection
8 packs
−$81.33
−70% return
$116.25 sealed → $34.92 EV
See full breakdown →
Black Bolt PC ETB
11 packs
−$138.83
−75% return
$184.72 sealed → $45.89 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Victini - 171/086
#171/086
Black White Rare$387.54
EV: $0.39
Zekrom ex - 166/086
#166/086
Special Illustration Rare$203.34
EV: $0.36
Zekrom ex - 172/086
#172/086
Black White Rare$355.51
EV: $0.36
Seismitoad - 105/086
#105/086
Illustration Rare$130.81
EV: $0.31
Kyurem ex - 165/086
#165/086
Special Illustration Rare$65.90
EV: $0.12
Haxorus - 147/086
#147/086
Illustration Rare$43.90
EV: $0.10
N's Plan - 170/086
#170/086
Special Illustration Rare$57.36
EV: $0.10
Krookodile - 137/086
#137/086
Illustration Rare$35.62
EV: $0.08
Genesect ex - 169/086
#169/086
Special Illustration Rare$41.39
EV: $0.07
Volcarona - 100/086
#100/086
Illustration Rare$30.06
EV: $0.07
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 69 | $13.50 | 16.40% | $2.21 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $66.27 | 1.25% | $0.83 |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $371.53 | 0.20% | $0.74 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.53 | 21.10% | $0.11 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $1.75 | 5.80% | $0.10 |
| Total EV / Pack | $3.99 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 21.10% | 1 in 5 | 700 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16.40% | 1 in 6 | 700 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 5.80% | 1 in 17 | 700 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.25% | 1 in 80 | 700 |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 0.20% | 1 in 500 | 700 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Black Bolt worth opening?
- At current market prices, Unova Victini Illustration Collection loses $24.27 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Black Bolt booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Black Bolt booster pack is $3.99 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Black Bolt?
- The most valuable cards in Black Bolt are Victini - 171/086 ($387.54), Zekrom ex - 166/086 ($203.34), Zekrom ex - 172/086 ($355.51).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Black Bolt?
- Pull rates are based on 700 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Black Bolt products lose an average of $42.33 (−61%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 700+ pack openings.