White Flare Booster Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $36.59.
6 packs produce $32.04 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−53%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $68.63.
Expected Loss
−$36.59
The average opening result after paying $68.63 sealed.
Open Average
$32.04
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$20.51
Expected range $2.68-$8.00 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $5.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$5.34 × 6 packs = $32.04
This product contains 6 booster packs.
$32.04 = $32.04
No promo value applied for this product.
$32.04 × 0.64 = $20.51
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $32.04 ÷ $68.63 = 46.7% • Cash-out: $20.51 ÷ $68.63 = 29.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $5.34 EV per pack for this 6-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/6pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 70 | $19.92 | 16.40% | $3.27 | $19.62 | 61.2% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $450.05 | 0.20% | $0.90 | $5.40 | 16.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $70.61 | 1.25% | $0.88 | $5.28 | 16.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $3.03 | 5.80% | $0.18 | $1.08 | 3.4% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.55 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.66 | 2.1% |
| Total | $5.34 | $32.04 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$453.55
+$2.70 EV
Reshiram ex - 173/086
#173/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$446.55
+$2.70 EV
Reshiram ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$207.03
+$2.22 EV
Oshawott - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$85.36
+$1.20 EV
Chandelure - 103/086
#103/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$66.27
+$0.96 EV
Hydreigon ex - 169/086
#169/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$83.14
+$0.90 EV
Zoroark - 143/086
#143/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$61.44
+$0.84 EV
Keldeo ex - 167/086
#167/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$66.99
+$0.72 EV
Hilda - 164/086
#164/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$13.52
+$0.60 EV
Reshiram ex
#020/086 · RR
1 in 28 packs
$0.60
+$0.12 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.94. Current sealed price ($68.63) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($68.63) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Flare ETB | $125.05 | $49.54 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare PC ETB | $251.09 | $83.29 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | $68.63 | $32.04 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Binder Collection | $64.73 | $22.36 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Tech Sticker Collection | $37.43 | $16.77 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | $13.21 | $5.34 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Bundles Across Sets
See how this bundle stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Bundle | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Bundle | Chaos Rising | $45.31 | $22.14 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Bundle | Black Bolt | $72.70 | $35.04 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Art Bundle | Temporal Forces | $32.14 | $14.20 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | Shrouded Fable | $60.06 | $25.98 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack Art Bundle | Chaos Rising | $37.07 | $14.76 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Bundle | Perfect Order | $41.27 | $16.20 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Art Bundle | Perfect Order | $30.23 | $10.80 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | Pokemon 151 | $185.98 | $63.66 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |