Rip or Flip
Darkness Ablaze ETB

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$118.89

MSRP

$49.99

Spread: +$68.90 (138%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDDarkness Ablaze8 packs+ $1.00 promos

Darkness Ablaze ETB

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $108.37.

8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $10.52 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−91%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $118.89.

Expected Loss

−$108.37

The average opening result after paying $118.89 sealed.

Open Average

$10.52

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$6.73

Expected range $0.00-$3.00 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $1.19

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.

02

$1.19 × 8 packs = $9.52

This product contains 8 booster packs.

03

$9.52 + $1.00 promos = $10.52

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$10.52 × 0.64 = $6.73

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $10.52 ÷ $118.89 = 8.8%Cash-out: $6.73 ÷ $118.89 = 5.7%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.19 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/8pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)34$4.4019.50%$0.86$6.8872.3%
Secret Rare(SR)12$8.132.40%$0.20$1.6016.8%
Holo Rare(H)18$0.6022.00%$0.13$1.0410.9%
Total$1.19$9.52100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Darkness Ablaze, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/swsh3/darkness-ablaze/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($118.89) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($118.89) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

Partner

You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.

Try Free for 1 Month

Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Darkness Ablaze Booster Box$345.40$42.84−88%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze ETB$118.89$10.52−91%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister$41.07$4.07−90%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze Build & Battle Box$61.22$13.15−79%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster$10.66$1.19−89%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack$8.93$1.19−87%KEEP SEALED

Compare ETBs Across Sets

See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

ETBSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Scarlet & Violet PC ETBScarlet & Violet$299.90$154.30−49%KEEP SEALED
Obsidian Flames PC ETBObsidian Flames$706.33$360.43−49%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising ETBChaos Rising$82.24$39.97−51%KEEP SEALED
Ascended Heroes ETBAscended Heroes$169.35$78.64−54%KEEP SEALED
Stellar Crown PC ETBStellar Crown$172.95$73.73−57%KEEP SEALED
Mega Evolution PC ETBMega Evolution$277.36$116.21−58%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable PC ETBShrouded Fable$165.91$68.14−59%KEEP SEALED
Journey Together PC ETBJourney Together$208.09$85.17−59%KEEP SEALED
← Back to all Darkness Ablaze products