Darkness Ablaze Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $302.56.
36 packs produce $42.84 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $345.40.
Expected Loss
−$302.56
The average opening result after paying $345.40 sealed.
Open Average
$42.84
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$27.42
Expected range $0.00-$3.00 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.19
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.19 × 36 packs = $42.84
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$42.84 = $42.84
No promo value applied for this product.
$42.84 × 0.64 = $27.42
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $42.84 ÷ $345.40 = 12.4% • Cash-out: $27.42 ÷ $345.40 = 7.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.19 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 34 | $4.40 | 19.50% | $0.86 | $30.96 | 72.3% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 12 | $8.13 | 2.40% | $0.20 | $7.20 | 16.8% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 18 | $0.60 | 22.00% | $0.13 | $4.68 | 10.9% |
| Total | $1.19 | $42.84 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Darkness Ablaze, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard VMAX
#020/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$56.03
+$11.52 EV
Charizard V
#019/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$10.29
+$2.16 EV
Mew V
#069/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$8.63
+$1.80 EV
Butterfree VMAX (Secret)
#190/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$23.48
+$1.80 EV
Salamence VMAX (Secret)
#194/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$15.81
+$1.08 EV
Scizor VMAX (Secret)
#193/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$12.53
+$1.08 EV
Arctozolt
#066/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$1.98
+$0.72 EV
Suicune
#037/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$1.09
+$0.36 EV
Blaziken
#024/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$0.96
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/swsh3/darkness-ablaze/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($345.40) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($345.40) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darkness Ablaze Booster Box | $345.40 | $42.84 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze ETB | $118.89 | $10.52 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister | $41.07 | $4.07 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Build & Battle Box | $61.22 | $13.15 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster | $10.66 | $1.19 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack | $8.93 | $1.19 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Box | Chaos Rising | $238.96 | $132.84 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $227.93 | $97.20 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $272.88 | $107.28 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $332.86 | $127.80 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $443.72 | $144.72 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $503.62 | $156.96 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |