Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $8.99.
1 packs produce $1.00 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−90%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.99.
Expected Loss
−$8.99
The average opening result after paying $9.99 sealed.
Open Average
$1.00
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$0.64
Expected range $0.00-$2.45 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.00
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.00 × 1 packs = $1.00
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$1.00 = $1.00
No promo value applied for this product.
$1.00 × 0.64 = $0.64
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $1.00 ÷ $9.99 = 10.0% • Cash-out: $0.64 ÷ $9.99 = 6.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.00 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 34 | $3.60 | 19.50% | $0.70 | $0.70 | 70.0% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 12 | $7.37 | 2.40% | $0.18 | $0.18 | 18.0% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 18 | $0.53 | 22.00% | $0.12 | $0.12 | 12.0% |
| Total | $1.00 | $1.00 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Darkness Ablaze, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard VMAX
#020/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$45.29
+$0.26 EV
Charizard V
#019/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$7.02
+$0.04 EV
Houndoom V (Full Art)
#178/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$4.98
+$0.03 EV
Butterfree VMAX (Secret)
#190/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$16.48
+$0.03 EV
Salamence VMAX (Secret)
#194/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$14.76
+$0.03 EV
Arctozolt
#066/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$1.60
+$0.02 EV
Eternatus VMAX (Secret)
#192/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$11.63
+$0.02 EV
Suicune
#037/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$0.96
+$0.01 EV
Dracovish
#053/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$0.85
+$0.01 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/swsh3/darkness-ablaze/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($9.99) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($9.99) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darkness Ablaze Booster Box | $326.85 | $36.00 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze ETB | $107.76 | $9.00 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister | $38.08 | $3.50 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Build & Battle Box | $64.23 | $12.02 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster | $9.99 | $1.00 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack | $8.21 | $1.00 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $12.20 | $7.10 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $9.86 | $4.72 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $9.17 | $4.33 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.71 | $2.89 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | Shrouded Fable | $8.94 | $3.77 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister | Perfect Order | $22.77 | $9.17 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister | Phantasmal Flames | $9.87 | $3.97 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | Phantasmal Flames | $9.45 | $3.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |