Rip or Flip
Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$8.21

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$3.72 (83%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDDarkness Ablaze1 pack

Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $7.22.

1 packs produce $0.99 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−88%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $8.21.

Expected Loss

−$7.22

The average opening result after paying $8.21 sealed.

Open Average

$0.99

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$0.63

Expected range $0.00-$2.44 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $0.99

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.

02

$0.99 × 1 packs = $0.99

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$0.99 = $0.99

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$0.99 × 0.64 = $0.63

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $0.99 ÷ $8.21 = 12.1%Cash-out: $0.63 ÷ $8.21 = 7.7%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $0.99 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)34$3.5719.50%$0.70$0.7070.7%
Secret Rare(SR)12$7.312.40%$0.18$0.1818.2%
Holo Rare(H)18$0.5222.00%$0.11$0.1111.1%
Total$0.99$0.99100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Darkness Ablaze, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/swsh3/darkness-ablaze/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($8.21) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($8.21) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

Partner

You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.

Try Free for 1 Month

Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Darkness Ablaze Booster Box$327.53$35.64−89%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze ETB$107.80$8.92−92%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister$38.08$3.47−91%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze Build & Battle Box$64.23$11.98−81%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster$9.99$0.99−90%KEEP SEALED
Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack$8.21$0.99−88%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

PackSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Ascended Heroes Booster PackAscended Heroes$11.97$6.94−42%KEEP SEALED
Black Bolt Booster PackBlack Bolt$10.21$4.60−55%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster PackWhite Flare$9.74$4.18−57%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster PackShrouded Fable$8.84$3.73−58%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster PackPerfect Order$6.91$2.91−58%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Booster PackPhantasmal Flames$9.11$3.68−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack BlisterPhantasmal Flames$9.87$3.93−60%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order 3 Pack BlisterPerfect Order$23.26$9.23−60%KEEP SEALED
← Back to all Darkness Ablaze products