Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $6.39.
1 packs produce $2.81 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−69%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.20.
Expected Loss
−$6.39
The average opening result after paying $9.20 sealed.
Open Average
$2.81
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$1.80
Expected range $1.18-$4.44 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.81
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.81 × 1 packs = $2.81
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$2.81 = $2.81
No promo value applied for this product.
$2.81 × 0.64 = $1.80
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $2.81 ÷ $9.20 = 30.5% • Cash-out: $1.80 ÷ $9.20 = 19.6%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.81 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $21.12 | 7.70% | $1.63 | $1.63 | 58.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $21.52 | 3.10% | $0.67 | $0.67 | 23.8% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.96 | 6.70% | $0.27 | $0.27 | 9.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.82 | 14.30% | $0.12 | $0.12 | 4.3% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.47 | 1.90% | $0.12 | $0.12 | 4.3% |
| Total | $2.81 | $2.81 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$89.90
+$0.28 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$70.18
+$0.23 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$54.00
+$0.17 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$49.71
+$0.16 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$28.93
+$0.09 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$26.32
+$0.08 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$17.70
+$0.06 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$15.78
+$0.05 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.72
+$0.03 EV
Gyarados ex - 045/198
#045/198 · RR
1 in 84 packs
$2.02
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($9.20) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($9.20) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $294.40 | $101.16 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $141.47 | $34.03 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $301.20 | $155.77 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $96.13 | $16.86 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $29.28 | $8.93 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $10.73 | $3.06 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $42.15 | $14.47 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $9.00 | $2.81 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $9.20 | $2.81 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.33 | $10.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $15.14 | $7.72 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $21.08 | $10.43 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $13.24 | $6.27 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $7.01 | $3.31 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $12.67 | $5.66 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.53 | $3.31 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister | Shrouded Fable | $32.04 | $13.82 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |