Scarlet & Violet ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $106.90.
9 packs plus $8.08 in promo value produce $33.10 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−76%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $140.00.
Expected Loss
−$106.90
The average opening result after paying $140.00 sealed.
Open Average
$33.10
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$21.18
Expected range $1.13-$4.43 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.78
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.78 × 9 packs = $25.02
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$25.02 + $8.08 promos = $33.10
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$33.10 × 0.64 = $21.18
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $33.10 ÷ $140.00 = 23.6% • Cash-out: $21.18 ÷ $140.00 = 15.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.78 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $21.08 | 7.70% | $1.62 | $14.58 | 58.3% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $21.96 | 3.10% | $0.68 | $6.12 | 24.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.69 | 6.70% | $0.25 | $2.25 | 9.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.49 | 1.90% | $0.12 | $1.08 | 4.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.78 | 14.30% | $0.11 | $0.99 | 4.0% |
| Total | $2.78 | $25.02 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$96.30
+$2.70 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$69.22
+$1.98 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$53.49
+$1.53 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$50.86
+$1.44 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$29.26
+$0.81 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$26.46
+$0.72 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$16.97
+$0.54 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$11.72
+$0.36 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.68
+$0.27 EV
Gyarados ex - 045/198
#045/198 · RR
1 in 84 packs
$1.64
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($140.00) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($140.00) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($8.08) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $140.00 | $33.10 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $94.59 | $16.68 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $28.96 | $8.84 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $10.73 | $3.03 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $42.07 | $14.38 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $9.06 | $2.78 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $9.00 | $2.78 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | Paldea Evolved | $564.05 | $227.94 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |