Scarlet & Violet ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $88.37.
9 packs plus $6.14 in promo value produce $27.20 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−76%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $115.57.
Expected Loss
−$88.37
The average opening result after paying $115.57 sealed.
Open Average
$27.20
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$17.41
Expected range $0.90-$3.78 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.34 × 9 packs = $21.06
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$21.06 + $6.14 promos = $27.20
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$27.20 × 0.64 = $17.41
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $27.20 ÷ $115.57 = 23.5% • Cash-out: $17.41 ÷ $115.57 = 15.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.34 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $16.55 | 7.70% | $1.27 | $11.43 | 54.3% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $20.07 | 3.10% | $0.62 | $5.58 | 26.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.33 | 6.70% | $0.22 | $1.98 | 9.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.16 | 1.90% | $0.12 | $1.08 | 5.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.76 | 14.30% | $0.11 | $0.99 | 4.7% |
| Total | $2.34 | $21.06 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$87.95
+$2.43 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$56.44
+$1.62 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$51.64
+$1.53 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$42.93
+$1.26 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$25.96
+$0.72 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$25.49
+$0.72 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$13.39
+$0.36 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$9.80
+$0.27 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.67
+$0.27 EV
Gyarados ex - 045/198
#045/198 · RR
1 in 84 packs
$1.55
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($115.57) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($115.57) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($6.14) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $251.15 | $84.24 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $115.57 | $27.20 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $82.36 | $14.04 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $26.65 | $7.52 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $10.16 | $2.59 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $38.00 | $13.42 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $43.72 | $2.34 | −95% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $8.68 | $2.34 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $187.52 | $73.05 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |