Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $77.91.
6 packs produce $16.68 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−82%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $94.59.
Expected Loss
−$77.91
The average opening result after paying $94.59 sealed.
Open Average
$16.68
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$10.68
Expected range $1.13-$4.43 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.78
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.78 × 6 packs = $16.68
This product contains 6 booster packs.
$16.68 = $16.68
No promo value applied for this product.
$16.68 × 0.64 = $10.68
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $16.68 ÷ $94.59 = 17.6% • Cash-out: $10.68 ÷ $94.59 = 11.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.78 EV per pack for this 6-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/6pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $21.08 | 7.70% | $1.62 | $9.72 | 58.3% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $21.96 | 3.10% | $0.68 | $4.08 | 24.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.69 | 6.70% | $0.25 | $1.50 | 9.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.49 | 1.90% | $0.12 | $0.72 | 4.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.78 | 14.30% | $0.11 | $0.66 | 4.0% |
| Total | $2.78 | $16.68 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$96.30
+$1.80 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$69.22
+$1.32 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$53.49
+$1.02 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$50.86
+$0.96 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$29.26
+$0.54 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$26.46
+$0.48 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$16.97
+$0.36 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$11.72
+$0.24 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.68
+$0.18 EV
Gyarados ex - 045/198
#045/198 · RR
1 in 84 packs
$1.64
+$0.12 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.94. Current sealed price ($94.59) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($94.59) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $140.00 | $33.10 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $94.59 | $16.68 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $28.96 | $8.84 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $10.73 | $3.03 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $42.07 | $14.38 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $9.06 | $2.78 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $9.00 | $2.78 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Bundles Across Sets
See how this bundle stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Bundle | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Bundle | Chaos Rising | $45.31 | $22.14 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Bundle | Black Bolt | $72.70 | $35.04 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | White Flare | $68.63 | $32.04 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Art Bundle | Temporal Forces | $32.14 | $14.20 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | Shrouded Fable | $60.06 | $25.98 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack Art Bundle | Chaos Rising | $37.07 | $14.76 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Bundle | Perfect Order | $41.27 | $16.20 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Art Bundle | Perfect Order | $30.23 | $10.80 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |