Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $24.58.
4 packs plus $4.06 in promo value produce $13.42 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−65%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $38.00.
Expected Loss
−$24.58
The average opening result after paying $38.00 sealed.
Open Average
$13.42
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$8.59
Expected range $0.90-$3.78 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.34 × 4 packs = $9.36
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$9.36 + $4.06 promos = $13.42
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$13.42 × 0.64 = $8.59
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $13.42 ÷ $38.00 = 35.3% • Cash-out: $8.59 ÷ $38.00 = 22.6%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.34 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $16.55 | 7.70% | $1.27 | $5.08 | 54.3% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $20.07 | 3.10% | $0.62 | $2.48 | 26.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.33 | 6.70% | $0.22 | $0.88 | 9.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.16 | 1.90% | $0.12 | $0.48 | 5.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.76 | 14.30% | $0.11 | $0.44 | 4.7% |
| Total | $2.34 | $9.36 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$87.95
+$1.08 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$56.44
+$0.72 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$51.64
+$0.68 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$42.93
+$0.56 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$25.96
+$0.32 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$25.49
+$0.32 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$13.39
+$0.16 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$9.80
+$0.12 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.67
+$0.12 EV
Gyarados ex - 045/198
#045/198 · RR
1 in 84 packs
$1.55
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($38.00) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($38.00) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($4.06) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $251.15 | $84.24 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $115.57 | $27.20 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $82.36 | $14.04 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $26.65 | $7.52 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $10.16 | $2.59 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $38.00 | $13.42 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $43.72 | $2.34 | −95% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $8.68 | $2.34 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |