Scarlet & Violet Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $166.91.
36 packs produce $84.24 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−66%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $251.15.
Expected Loss
−$166.91
The average opening result after paying $251.15 sealed.
Open Average
$84.24
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$53.91
Expected range $0.90-$3.78 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.34 × 36 packs = $84.24
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$84.24 = $84.24
No promo value applied for this product.
$84.24 × 0.64 = $53.91
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $84.24 ÷ $251.15 = 33.5% • Cash-out: $53.91 ÷ $251.15 = 21.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.34 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $16.55 | 7.70% | $1.27 | $45.72 | 54.3% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $20.07 | 3.10% | $0.62 | $22.32 | 26.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.33 | 6.70% | $0.22 | $7.92 | 9.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.16 | 1.90% | $0.12 | $4.32 | 5.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.76 | 14.30% | $0.11 | $3.96 | 4.7% |
| Total | $2.34 | $84.24 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$87.95
+$9.72 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$56.44
+$6.48 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$51.64
+$6.12 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$42.93
+$5.04 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$25.96
+$2.88 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$25.49
+$2.88 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$13.39
+$1.44 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$9.80
+$1.08 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.67
+$1.08 EV
Gyarados ex - 045/198
#045/198 · RR
1 in 84 packs
$1.55
+$0.72 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($251.15) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($251.15) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $251.15 | $84.24 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $115.57 | $27.20 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $82.36 | $14.04 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $26.65 | $7.52 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $10.16 | $2.59 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $38.00 | $13.42 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $43.72 | $2.34 | −95% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $8.68 | $2.34 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $205.37 | $104.76 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $260.71 | $97.56 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $394.47 | $132.48 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $291.59 | $97.92 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $447.78 | $130.68 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $308.27 | $89.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | Twilight Masquerade | $337.27 | $96.48 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Lost Origin Booster Box | Lost Origin | $718.29 | $202.68 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |