White Flare ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $63.75.
9 packs plus $1.48 in promo value produce $39.10 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−62%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $102.85.
Expected Loss
−$63.75
The average opening result after paying $102.85 sealed.
Open Average
$39.10
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$25.02
Expected range $2.33-$6.03 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.18
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$4.18 × 9 packs = $37.62
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$37.62 + $1.48 promos = $39.10
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$39.10 × 0.64 = $25.02
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $39.10 ÷ $102.85 = 38.0% • Cash-out: $25.02 ÷ $102.85 = 24.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.18 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 70 | $14.76 | 16.40% | $2.42 | $21.78 | 57.9% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $386.11 | 0.20% | $0.77 | $6.93 | 18.4% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $57.95 | 1.25% | $0.72 | $6.48 | 17.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $2.82 | 5.80% | $0.16 | $1.44 | 3.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.53 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.99 | 2.6% |
| Total | $4.18 | $37.62 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$396.47
+$3.60 EV
Reshiram ex - 173/086
#173/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$375.74
+$3.42 EV
Reshiram ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$166.11
+$2.70 EV
Oshawott - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$54.18
+$1.17 EV
Hydreigon ex - 169/086
#169/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$71.55
+$1.17 EV
Zoroark - 143/086
#143/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$48.30
+$0.99 EV
Chandelure - 103/086
#103/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$47.37
+$0.99 EV
Hilda - 171/086
#171/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$54.17
+$0.90 EV
Hilda - 164/086
#164/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$12.75
+$0.81 EV
Reshiram ex
#020/086 · RR
1 in 28 packs
$0.65
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($102.85) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($102.85) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.48) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Flare ETB | $102.85 | $39.10 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare PC ETB | $220.46 | $67.78 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | $57.95 | $25.08 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Binder Collection | $52.23 | $17.72 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Tech Sticker Collection | $31.20 | $13.29 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | $9.74 | $4.18 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |