White Flare Binder Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $34.51.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $17.72 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−66%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $52.23.
Expected Loss
−$34.51
The average opening result after paying $52.23 sealed.
Open Average
$17.72
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$11.34
Expected range $2.33-$6.03 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.18
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$4.18 × 4 packs = $16.72
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$16.72 + $1.00 promos = $17.72
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$17.72 × 0.64 = $11.34
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $17.72 ÷ $52.23 = 33.9% • Cash-out: $11.34 ÷ $52.23 = 21.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.18 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 70 | $14.76 | 16.40% | $2.42 | $9.68 | 57.9% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $386.11 | 0.20% | $0.77 | $3.08 | 18.4% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $57.95 | 1.25% | $0.72 | $2.88 | 17.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $2.82 | 5.80% | $0.16 | $0.64 | 3.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.53 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.44 | 2.6% |
| Total | $4.18 | $16.72 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$396.47
+$1.60 EV
Reshiram ex - 173/086
#173/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$375.74
+$1.52 EV
Reshiram ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$166.11
+$1.20 EV
Oshawott - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$54.18
+$0.52 EV
Hydreigon ex - 169/086
#169/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$71.55
+$0.52 EV
Zoroark - 143/086
#143/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$48.30
+$0.44 EV
Chandelure - 103/086
#103/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$47.37
+$0.44 EV
Hilda - 171/086
#171/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$54.17
+$0.40 EV
Hilda - 164/086
#164/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$12.75
+$0.36 EV
Reshiram ex
#020/086 · RR
1 in 28 packs
$0.65
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $29.99. Current sealed price ($52.23) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($52.23) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Flare ETB | $102.85 | $39.10 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare PC ETB | $220.46 | $67.78 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | $57.95 | $25.08 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Binder Collection | $52.23 | $17.72 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Tech Sticker Collection | $31.20 | $13.29 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | $9.74 | $4.18 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |