White Flare Binder Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $42.37.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $22.36 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−65%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $64.73.
Expected Loss
−$42.37
The average opening result after paying $64.73 sealed.
Open Average
$22.36
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.31
Expected range $2.68-$8.00 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $5.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$5.34 × 4 packs = $21.36
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$21.36 + $1.00 promos = $22.36
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$22.36 × 0.64 = $14.31
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $22.36 ÷ $64.73 = 34.5% • Cash-out: $14.31 ÷ $64.73 = 22.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $5.34 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 70 | $19.92 | 16.40% | $3.27 | $13.08 | 61.2% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $450.05 | 0.20% | $0.90 | $3.60 | 16.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $70.61 | 1.25% | $0.88 | $3.52 | 16.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $3.03 | 5.80% | $0.18 | $0.72 | 3.4% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.55 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.44 | 2.1% |
| Total | $5.34 | $21.36 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$453.55
+$1.80 EV
Reshiram ex - 173/086
#173/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$446.55
+$1.80 EV
Reshiram ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$207.03
+$1.48 EV
Oshawott - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$85.36
+$0.80 EV
Chandelure - 103/086
#103/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$66.27
+$0.64 EV
Hydreigon ex - 169/086
#169/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$83.14
+$0.60 EV
Zoroark - 143/086
#143/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$61.44
+$0.56 EV
Keldeo ex - 167/086
#167/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$66.99
+$0.48 EV
Hilda - 164/086
#164/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$13.52
+$0.40 EV
Reshiram ex
#020/086 · RR
1 in 28 packs
$0.60
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $29.99. Current sealed price ($64.73) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($64.73) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Flare ETB | $125.05 | $49.54 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare PC ETB | $251.09 | $83.29 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | $68.63 | $32.04 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Binder Collection | $64.73 | $22.36 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Tech Sticker Collection | $37.43 | $16.77 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | $13.21 | $5.34 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |