Don't rip Astral Radiance right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $25.28 on average.
If you must open something: Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box loses the least at −$25.28.
All 6 Products
Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box
4 packs
−$25.28
−71% return
$35.80 sealed → $10.52 EV
See full breakdown →
Astral Radiance Booster Pack
1 pack
−$6.67
−74% return
$9.05 sealed → $2.38 EV
See full breakdown →
Astral Radiance 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
−$24.80
−76% return
$32.44 sealed → $7.64 EV
See full breakdown →
Astral Radiance Booster Box
36 packs
−$305.43
−78% return
$391.11 sealed → $85.68 EV
See full breakdown →
Astral Radiance ETB
8 packs
−$81.99
−80% return
$102.03 sealed → $20.04 EV
See full breakdown →
Astral Radiance PC ETB
10 packs
−$126.15
−83% return
$151.95 sealed → $25.80 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Machamp V (Alternate Full Art)
#172/189
Ultra Rare$154.87
EV: $0.64
Origin Forme Palkia V (Alternate Full Art)
#167/189
Ultra Rare$73.69
EV: $0.30
Origin Forme Dialga V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/189
Ultra Rare$53.45
EV: $0.22
Beedrill V (Alternate Full Art)
#161/189
Ultra Rare$45.64
EV: $0.19
Hisuian Sneasler V (Alternate Full Art)
#175/189
Ultra Rare$24.56
EV: $0.10
Jirachi V (Full Art)
#170/189
Ultra Rare$19.67
EV: $0.08
Hisuian Lilligant V (Alternate Full Art)
#163/189
Ultra Rare$18.17
EV: $0.07
Irida (Full Art)
#186/189
Ultra Rare$10.12
EV: $0.04
Machamp V (Full Art)
#171/189
Ultra Rare$9.32
EV: $0.04
Radiant Greninja
#046/189
Radiant Rare$2.31
EV: $0.04
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 58 | $8.78 | 23.90% | $2.10 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 27 | $6.35 | 2.44% | $0.16 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.29 | 25.53% | $0.07 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $1.10 | 4.88% | $0.05 |
| Total EV / Pack | $2.38 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 25.53% | 1 in 4 | 615 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.90% | 1 in 4 | 615 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.88% | 1 in 20 | 615 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 2.44% | 1 in 41 | 615 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/astral-radiance-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2022/05/15/astral-radiance-pull-rates-are-surprisingly-good-in-new-pokemon-tcg-set/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Astral Radiance worth opening?
- At current market prices, Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box loses $25.28 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Astral Radiance booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Astral Radiance booster pack is $2.38 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Astral Radiance?
- The most valuable cards in Astral Radiance are Machamp V (Alternate Full Art) ($154.87), Origin Forme Palkia V (Alternate Full Art) ($73.69), Origin Forme Dialga V (Alternate Full Art) ($53.45).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Astral Radiance?
- Pull rates are based on 615 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Astral Radiance products lose an average of $95.05 (−77%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 615+ pack openings.