Astral Radiance
Don't rip Astral Radiance right now.
−45%
$41.67 sealed → $22.98 EV | EV/pack: $3.01
Even the best product loses −$18.69 on average.
If you must open something: Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box loses the least at −$18.69.
Best product to check
Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box
MSRP $21.99 • Market price $41.67 • Return −45%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 7 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Machamp V (Alternate Full Art)
#172/189
UR$198.58
EV: $0.82
Origin Forme Palkia V (Alternate Full Art)
#167/189
UR$89.43
EV: $0.37
Origin Forme Dialga V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/189
UR$69.00
EV: $0.28
View 7 more chase cards
Beedrill V (Alternate Full Art)
#161/189
UR$68.07
EV: $0.28
Hisuian Sneasler V (Alternate Full Art)
#175/189
UR$33.17
EV: $0.14
Hisuian Lilligant V (Alternate Full Art)
#163/189
UR$24.11
EV: $0.10
Jirachi V (Full Art)
#170/189
UR$21.97
EV: $0.09
Radiant Greninja
#046/189
RR$4.75
EV: $0.08
Machamp V (Full Art)
#171/189
UR$10.13
EV: $0.04
Irida (Full Art)
#186/189
UR$9.15
EV: $0.04
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 58 | $11.00 | $0.71–$198.58 | 23.90% | $2.63 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 27 | $7.26 | $3.18–$16.75 | 2.44% | $0.18 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.38 | $0.26–$0.66 | 25.53% | $0.10 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $2.00 | $0.61–$4.75 | 4.88% | $0.10 |
| Total EV / Pack | $3.01 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 25.53% | 1 in 4 | 615 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.90% | 1 in 4 | 615 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.88% | 1 in 20 | 615 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 2.44% | 1 in 41 | 615 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/astral-radiance-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2022/05/15/astral-radiance-pull-rates-are-surprisingly-good-in-new-pokemon-tcg-set/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Astral Radiance worth opening?
- At current market prices, Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box loses $18.69 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Astral Radiance booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Astral Radiance booster pack is $3.01 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Astral Radiance products?
- Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box launched at $21.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $41.67 to see how far Astral Radiance pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Astral Radiance?
- The most valuable cards in Astral Radiance are Machamp V (Alternate Full Art) ($198.58), Origin Forme Palkia V (Alternate Full Art) ($89.43), Origin Forme Dialga V (Alternate Full Art) ($69.00).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Astral Radiance?
- Pull rates are based on 615 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Astral Radiance product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box offers the best return at −45% (−$18.69). It contains 4 packs and is priced at $41.67.
- How often are Astral Radiance prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Astral Radiance?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box, cash-out EV is $14.71 versus $22.98 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Astral Radiance?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 615 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of May 2026, Astral Radiance products lose an average of $94.25 (−72%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 615+ pack openings.