Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $8.43.
2 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $14.88 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−36%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $23.31.
Expected Loss
−$8.43
The average opening result after paying $23.31 sealed.
Open Average
$14.88
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$9.52
Expected range $2.14-$11.74 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $6.94
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 2,000 pack openings.
$6.94 × 2 packs = $13.88
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$13.88 + $1.00 promos = $14.88
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$14.88 × 0.64 = $9.52
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $14.88 ÷ $23.31 = 63.8% • Cash-out: $9.52 ÷ $23.31 = 40.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $6.94 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 22 | $227.88 | 1.44% | $3.28 | $6.56 | 47.3% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 33 | $12.17 | 11.25% | $1.37 | $2.74 | 19.7% |
| Mega Attack Rare(MAR) | 7 | $28.85 | 3.47% | $1.00 | $2.00 | 14.4% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $390.39 | 0.19% | $0.74 | $1.48 | 10.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 39 | $1.78 | 20.37% | $0.36 | $0.72 | 5.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 14 | $3.99 | 4.81% | $0.19 | $0.38 | 2.7% |
| Total | $6.94 | $13.88 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Gengar ex - 284/217
#284/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1215.43
+$1.60 EV
Pikachu ex - 276/217
#276/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$841.60
+$1.10 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217
#290/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$727.25
+$0.96 EV
Mega Gengar ex - 269/217
#269/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$95.30
+$0.94 EV
Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217
#294/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$493.52
+$0.94 EV
Psyduck - 226/217
#226/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$85.30
+$0.58 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217
#271/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$55.04
+$0.54 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217
#295/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$287.25
+$0.54 EV
Team Rocket's Mimikyu - 238/217
#238/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$30.31
+$0.20 EV
Erika's Tangela - 218/217
#218/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$25.53
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 2,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($23.31) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($23.31) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes ETB | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle | $1136.52 | $41.64 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Tech Sticker Collection | $165.15 | $21.57 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | $22.98 | $13.88 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Premium Poster Collection | $309.76 | $79.09 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box | $76.36 | $28.41 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection | $53.38 | $22.82 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | $11.97 | $6.94 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together Build & Battle Box | Journey Together | $32.55 | $15.22 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $31.37 | $14.55 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |