Prismatic Evolutions ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $110.64.
9 packs plus $16.42 in promo value produce $52.60 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−68%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $163.24.
Expected Loss
−$110.64
The average opening result after paying $163.24 sealed.
Open Average
$52.60
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$33.66
Expected range $0.00-$10.14 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$4.02 × 9 packs = $36.18
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$36.18 + $16.42 promos = $52.60
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$52.60 × 0.64 = $33.66
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $52.60 ÷ $163.24 = 32.2% • Cash-out: $33.66 ÷ $163.24 = 20.6%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.02 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $154.35 | 2.20% | $3.40 | $30.60 | 84.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $2.21 | 16.70% | $0.37 | $3.33 | 9.2% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $20.79 | 0.80% | $0.17 | $1.53 | 4.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.73 | 7.70% | $0.06 | $0.54 | 1.5% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.50 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.18 | 0.5% |
| Total | $4.02 | $36.18 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1566.05
+$9.72 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$443.47
+$2.70 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$329.19
+$2.07 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$68.40
+$0.99 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$7.30
+$0.45 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.63
+$0.36 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.47
+$0.36 EV
Teal Mask Ogerpon ex - 177/131
#177/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$12.19
+$0.18 EV
Terapagos ex - 180/131
#180/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$11.25
+$0.18 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.06
+$0.09 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($163.24) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($163.24) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($16.42) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |