Prismatic Evolutions ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $121.83.
9 packs plus $15.45 in promo value produce $48.03 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−72%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $169.86.
Expected Loss
−$121.83
The average opening result after paying $169.86 sealed.
Open Average
$48.03
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$30.74
Expected range $0.00-$9.42 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.62
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$3.62 × 9 packs = $32.58
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$32.58 + $15.45 promos = $48.03
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$48.03 × 0.64 = $30.74
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $48.03 ÷ $169.86 = 28.3% • Cash-out: $30.74 ÷ $169.86 = 18.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.62 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $139.07 | 2.20% | $3.06 | $27.54 | 84.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.95 | 16.70% | $0.33 | $2.97 | 9.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $18.15 | 0.80% | $0.15 | $1.35 | 4.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.72 | 7.70% | $0.06 | $0.54 | 1.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.47 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.18 | 0.6% |
| Total | $3.62 | $32.58 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1499.18
+$9.27 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$396.90
+$2.43 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$283.03
+$1.71 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$61.29
+$0.90 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.68
+$0.36 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.19
+$0.27 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.48
+$0.27 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.22
+$0.09 EV
Mela
#140/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.92
+$0.09 EV
Larry's Skill - 139/131
#139/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.87
+$0.09 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($169.86) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($169.86) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($15.45) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |