Prismatic Evolutions Premium Figure Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $222.34.
7 packs plus $3.00 in promo value produce $31.14 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $253.48.
Expected Loss
−$222.34
The average opening result after paying $253.48 sealed.
Open Average
$31.14
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$19.93
Expected range $0.00-$10.14 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$4.02 × 7 packs = $28.14
This product contains 7 booster packs.
$28.14 + $3.00 promos = $31.14
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$31.14 × 0.64 = $19.93
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $31.14 ÷ $253.48 = 12.3% • Cash-out: $19.93 ÷ $253.48 = 7.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.02 EV per pack for this 7-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/7pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $154.35 | 2.20% | $3.40 | $23.80 | 84.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $2.21 | 16.70% | $0.37 | $2.59 | 9.2% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $20.79 | 0.80% | $0.17 | $1.19 | 4.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.73 | 7.70% | $0.06 | $0.42 | 1.5% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.50 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.14 | 0.5% |
| Total | $4.02 | $28.14 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1566.05
+$7.56 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$443.47
+$2.10 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$329.19
+$1.61 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$68.40
+$0.77 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$7.30
+$0.35 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.63
+$0.28 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.47
+$0.28 EV
Teal Mask Ogerpon ex - 177/131
#177/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$12.19
+$0.14 EV
Terapagos ex - 180/131
#180/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$11.25
+$0.14 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.06
+$0.07 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $69.99. Current sealed price ($253.48) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($253.48) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($3.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |