Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $22.18.
2 packs produce $7.24 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−75%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $29.42.
Expected Loss
−$22.18
The average opening result after paying $29.42 sealed.
Open Average
$7.24
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$4.63
Expected range $0.00-$9.42 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.62
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$3.62 × 2 packs = $7.24
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$7.24 = $7.24
No promo value applied for this product.
$7.24 × 0.64 = $4.63
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $7.24 ÷ $29.42 = 24.6% • Cash-out: $4.63 ÷ $29.42 = 15.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.62 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $139.07 | 2.20% | $3.06 | $6.12 | 84.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.95 | 16.70% | $0.33 | $0.66 | 9.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $18.15 | 0.80% | $0.15 | $0.30 | 4.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.72 | 7.70% | $0.06 | $0.12 | 1.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.47 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.04 | 0.6% |
| Total | $3.62 | $7.24 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1499.18
+$2.06 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$396.90
+$0.54 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$283.03
+$0.38 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$61.29
+$0.20 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.68
+$0.08 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.19
+$0.06 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.48
+$0.06 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.22
+$0.02 EV
Mela
#140/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.92
+$0.02 EV
Larry's Skill - 139/131
#139/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.87
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($29.42) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($29.42) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
Compare Tins Across Sets
See how this tin stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Tin | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | Ascended Heroes | $22.98 | $13.88 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | Black Bolt | $19.30 | $9.20 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | Pokemon 151 | $44.33 | $19.82 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | Shrouded Fable | $19.97 | $7.46 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (Y) | Multi-Set Products | $35.55 | $12.54 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (X) | Multi-Set Products | $36.75 | $12.54 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Tin | Paldean Fates | $98.02 | $28.00 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Mini Tin | Paldean Fates | $38.32 | $10.80 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |