Prismatic Evolutions Binder Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $73.49.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $15.48 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−83%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $88.97.
Expected Loss
−$73.49
The average opening result after paying $88.97 sealed.
Open Average
$15.48
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$9.91
Expected range $0.00-$9.42 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.62
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$3.62 × 4 packs = $14.48
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$14.48 + $1.00 promos = $15.48
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$15.48 × 0.64 = $9.91
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $15.48 ÷ $88.97 = 17.4% • Cash-out: $9.91 ÷ $88.97 = 11.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.62 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $139.07 | 2.20% | $3.06 | $12.24 | 84.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.95 | 16.70% | $0.33 | $1.32 | 9.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $18.15 | 0.80% | $0.15 | $0.60 | 4.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.72 | 7.70% | $0.06 | $0.24 | 1.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.47 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.08 | 0.6% |
| Total | $3.62 | $14.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1499.18
+$4.12 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$396.90
+$1.08 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$283.03
+$0.76 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$61.29
+$0.40 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.68
+$0.16 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.19
+$0.12 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.48
+$0.12 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.22
+$0.04 EV
Mela
#140/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.92
+$0.04 EV
Larry's Skill - 139/131
#139/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.87
+$0.04 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $29.99. Current sealed price ($88.97) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($88.97) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together Build & Battle Box | Journey Together | $32.55 | $15.22 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |