Chilling Reign ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $140.42.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $30.84 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−82%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $171.26.
Expected Loss
−$140.42
The average opening result after paying $171.26 sealed.
Open Average
$30.84
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$19.74
Expected range $0.00-$10.16 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.73
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.73 × 8 packs = $29.84
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$29.84 + $1.00 promos = $30.84
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$30.84 × 0.64 = $19.74
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $30.84 ÷ $171.26 = 18.0% • Cash-out: $19.74 ÷ $171.26 = 11.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.73 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $15.84 | 19.00% | $3.01 | $24.08 | 80.7% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $25.16 | 2.40% | $0.60 | $4.80 | 16.1% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.53 | 22.00% | $0.12 | $0.96 | 3.2% |
| Total | $3.73 | $29.84 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$213.79
+$5.28 EV
Zeraora V (Alternate Full Art)
#166/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$89.40
+$2.16 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$86.62
+$2.16 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$359.57
+$2.00 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$127.97
+$0.72 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$69.79
+$0.40 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$4.13
+$0.32 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$1.07
+$0.08 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.68
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($171.26) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($171.26) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $495.10 | $134.28 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $171.26 | $30.84 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $189.28 | $39.30 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.64 | $11.69 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.95 | $23.31 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.79 | $3.73 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $11.14 | $3.73 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |