Chilling Reign ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $129.72.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $27.48 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−83%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $157.20.
Expected Loss
−$129.72
The average opening result after paying $157.20 sealed.
Open Average
$27.48
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$17.59
Expected range $0.00-$8.82 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.31
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.31 × 8 packs = $26.48
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$26.48 + $1.00 promos = $27.48
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$27.48 × 0.64 = $17.59
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $27.48 ÷ $157.20 = 17.5% • Cash-out: $17.59 ÷ $157.20 = 11.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.31 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $13.86 | 19.00% | $2.63 | $21.04 | 79.5% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $23.59 | 2.40% | $0.57 | $4.56 | 17.2% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.49 | 22.00% | $0.11 | $0.88 | 3.3% |
| Total | $3.31 | $26.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$183.87
+$4.48 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$357.80
+$2.00 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$75.74
+$1.84 EV
Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art)
#168/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$72.73
+$1.76 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$108.26
+$0.56 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$67.87
+$0.40 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$3.44
+$0.24 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.85
+$0.08 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.51
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($157.20) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($157.20) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $489.77 | $119.16 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $157.20 | $27.48 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $172.16 | $35.10 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.35 | $10.43 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.60 | $21.26 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.55 | $3.31 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $9.63 | $3.31 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |