Chilling Reign Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $360.82.
36 packs produce $134.28 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−73%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $495.10.
Expected Loss
−$360.82
The average opening result after paying $495.10 sealed.
Open Average
$134.28
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$85.94
Expected range $0.00-$10.16 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.73
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.73 × 36 packs = $134.28
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$134.28 = $134.28
No promo value applied for this product.
$134.28 × 0.64 = $85.94
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $134.28 ÷ $495.10 = 27.1% • Cash-out: $85.94 ÷ $495.10 = 17.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.73 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $15.84 | 19.00% | $3.01 | $108.36 | 80.7% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $25.16 | 2.40% | $0.60 | $21.60 | 16.1% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.53 | 22.00% | $0.12 | $4.32 | 3.2% |
| Total | $3.73 | $134.28 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$213.79
+$23.76 EV
Zeraora V (Alternate Full Art)
#166/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$89.40
+$9.72 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$86.62
+$9.72 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$359.57
+$9.00 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$127.97
+$3.24 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$69.79
+$1.80 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$4.13
+$1.44 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$1.07
+$0.36 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.68
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($495.10) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($495.10) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $495.10 | $134.28 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $171.26 | $30.84 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $189.28 | $39.30 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.64 | $11.69 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.95 | $23.31 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.79 | $3.73 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $11.14 | $3.73 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Box | Chaos Rising | $238.96 | $132.84 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $227.93 | $97.20 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $272.88 | $107.28 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $332.86 | $127.80 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $443.72 | $144.72 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $503.62 | $156.96 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |