Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $28.64.
4 packs plus $8.39 in promo value produce $23.31 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−55%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $51.95.
Expected Loss
−$28.64
The average opening result after paying $51.95 sealed.
Open Average
$23.31
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.92
Expected range $0.00-$10.16 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.73
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.73 × 4 packs = $14.92
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$14.92 + $8.39 promos = $23.31
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$23.31 × 0.64 = $14.92
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $23.31 ÷ $51.95 = 44.9% • Cash-out: $14.92 ÷ $51.95 = 28.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.73 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $15.84 | 19.00% | $3.01 | $12.04 | 80.7% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $25.16 | 2.40% | $0.60 | $2.40 | 16.1% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.53 | 22.00% | $0.12 | $0.48 | 3.2% |
| Total | $3.73 | $14.92 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$213.79
+$2.64 EV
Zeraora V (Alternate Full Art)
#166/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$89.40
+$1.08 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$86.62
+$1.08 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$359.57
+$1.00 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$127.97
+$0.36 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$69.79
+$0.20 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$4.13
+$0.16 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$1.07
+$0.04 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.68
+$0.04 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($51.95) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($51.95) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($8.39) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $495.10 | $134.28 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $171.26 | $30.84 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $189.28 | $39.30 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.64 | $11.69 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.95 | $23.31 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.79 | $3.73 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $11.14 | $3.73 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |