Chilling Reign Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $7.41.
1 packs produce $3.73 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−67%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $11.14.
Expected Loss
−$7.41
The average opening result after paying $11.14 sealed.
Open Average
$3.73
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.39
Expected range $0.00-$10.16 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.73
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.73 × 1 packs = $3.73
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.73 = $3.73
No promo value applied for this product.
$3.73 × 0.64 = $2.39
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $3.73 ÷ $11.14 = 33.5% • Cash-out: $2.39 ÷ $11.14 = 21.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.73 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $15.84 | 19.00% | $3.01 | $3.01 | 80.7% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $25.16 | 2.40% | $0.60 | $0.60 | 16.1% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.53 | 22.00% | $0.12 | $0.12 | 3.2% |
| Total | $3.73 | $3.73 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$213.79
+$0.66 EV
Zeraora V (Alternate Full Art)
#166/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$89.40
+$0.27 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$86.62
+$0.27 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$359.57
+$0.25 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$127.97
+$0.09 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$69.79
+$0.05 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$4.13
+$0.04 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$1.07
+$0.01 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.68
+$0.01 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($11.14) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($11.14) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $495.10 | $134.28 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $171.26 | $30.84 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $189.28 | $39.30 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.64 | $11.69 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.95 | $23.31 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.79 | $3.73 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $11.14 | $3.73 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.20 | $11.57 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $21.66 | $11.57 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $6.97 | $3.69 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.79 | $3.69 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $25.91 | $11.57 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.26 | $2.70 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.40 | $2.70 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |