Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $7.47.
1 packs plus $0.25 in promo value produce $2.59 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−74%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $10.06.
Expected Loss
−$7.47
The average opening result after paying $10.06 sealed.
Open Average
$2.59
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$1.66
Expected range $0.62-$4.06 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.34 × 1 packs = $2.34
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$2.34 + $0.25 promos = $2.59
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$2.59 × 0.64 = $1.66
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $2.59 ÷ $10.06 = 25.8% • Cash-out: $1.66 ÷ $10.06 = 16.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.34 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $20.04 | 7.70% | $1.54 | $1.54 | 65.8% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $20.47 | 1.90% | $0.39 | $0.39 | 16.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $3.07 | 6.70% | $0.21 | $0.21 | 9.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.92 | 14.30% | $0.13 | $0.13 | 5.6% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.43 | 1.20% | $0.07 | $0.07 | 3.0% |
| Total | $2.34 | $2.34 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$123.86
+$0.28 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$51.07
+$0.12 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$45.60
+$0.10 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$55.36
+$0.07 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$40.61
+$0.05 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$39.27
+$0.05 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$13.45
+$0.03 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.60
+$0.02 EV
Garchomp ex - 219/182
#219/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$6.71
+$0.02 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$14.10
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $5.49. Current sealed price ($10.06) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($10.06) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($0.25) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $277.99 | $84.24 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $131.36 | $28.01 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $181.77 | $73.75 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $73.35 | $14.04 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $26.64 | $7.52 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $10.06 | $2.59 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $36.81 | $11.31 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $9.31 | $2.34 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $35.30 | $9.36 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.94 | $2.34 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $13.97 | $7.58 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $12.12 | $5.29 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces 3 Pack Blister | Temporal Forces | $25.42 | $10.91 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Lost Origin Booster Pack | Lost Origin | $15.39 | $6.60 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $11.83 | $5.01 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister | Shrouded Fable | $31.53 | $13.16 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | Shrouded Fable | $10.41 | $4.22 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.88 | $2.76 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |