Paradox Rift Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $204.62.
36 packs produce $86.40 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−70%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $291.02.
Expected Loss
−$204.62
The average opening result after paying $291.02 sealed.
Open Average
$86.40
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$55.30
Expected range $0.68-$4.12 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.40
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.40 × 36 packs = $86.40
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$86.40 = $86.40
No promo value applied for this product.
$86.40 × 0.64 = $55.30
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $86.40 ÷ $291.02 = 29.7% • Cash-out: $55.30 ÷ $291.02 = 19.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.40 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $20.84 | 7.70% | $1.60 | $57.60 | 66.7% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $21.15 | 1.90% | $0.40 | $14.40 | 16.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $3.08 | 6.70% | $0.21 | $7.56 | 8.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.84 | 14.30% | $0.12 | $4.32 | 5.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.77 | 1.20% | $0.07 | $2.52 | 2.9% |
| Total | $2.40 | $86.40 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$121.88
+$10.08 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$52.45
+$4.32 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$46.48
+$3.96 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$59.42
+$2.88 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$40.91
+$1.80 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$37.44
+$1.80 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$15.10
+$1.44 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$16.67
+$1.08 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.38
+$0.72 EV
Garchomp ex - 219/182
#219/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$8.03
+$0.72 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($291.02) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($291.02) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $291.02 | $86.40 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $143.17 | $28.49 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $186.50 | $74.57 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $75.98 | $14.40 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $27.10 | $7.70 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.93 | $2.65 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $37.53 | $11.58 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $9.35 | $2.40 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $36.20 | $9.60 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.91 | $2.40 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Box | Chaos Rising | $238.96 | $132.84 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $227.93 | $97.20 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $272.88 | $107.28 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $332.86 | $127.80 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $443.72 | $144.72 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $503.62 | $156.96 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |