Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $25.95.
4 packs plus $1.98 in promo value produce $11.58 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−69%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $37.53.
Expected Loss
−$25.95
The average opening result after paying $37.53 sealed.
Open Average
$11.58
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$7.41
Expected range $0.68-$4.12 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.40
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.40 × 4 packs = $9.60
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$9.60 + $1.98 promos = $11.58
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$11.58 × 0.64 = $7.41
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $11.58 ÷ $37.53 = 30.9% • Cash-out: $7.41 ÷ $37.53 = 19.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.40 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $20.84 | 7.70% | $1.60 | $6.40 | 66.7% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $21.15 | 1.90% | $0.40 | $1.60 | 16.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $3.08 | 6.70% | $0.21 | $0.84 | 8.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.84 | 14.30% | $0.12 | $0.48 | 5.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.77 | 1.20% | $0.07 | $0.28 | 2.9% |
| Total | $2.40 | $9.60 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$121.88
+$1.12 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$52.45
+$0.48 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$46.48
+$0.44 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$59.42
+$0.32 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$40.91
+$0.20 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$37.44
+$0.20 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$15.10
+$0.16 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$16.67
+$0.12 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.38
+$0.08 EV
Garchomp ex - 219/182
#219/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$8.03
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($37.53) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($37.53) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.98) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $291.02 | $86.40 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $143.17 | $28.49 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $186.50 | $74.57 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $75.98 | $14.40 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $27.10 | $7.70 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.93 | $2.65 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $37.53 | $11.58 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $9.35 | $2.40 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $36.20 | $9.60 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.91 | $2.40 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |