Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $25.18.
4 packs plus $2.08 in promo value produce $9.92 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−72%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $35.10.
Expected Loss
−$25.18
The average opening result after paying $35.10 sealed.
Open Average
$9.92
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$6.35
Expected range $0.51-$3.41 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.96
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$1.96 × 4 packs = $7.84
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$7.84 + $2.08 promos = $9.92
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$9.92 × 0.64 = $6.35
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $9.92 ÷ $35.10 = 28.3% • Cash-out: $6.35 ÷ $35.10 = 18.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.96 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $16.19 | 7.70% | $1.25 | $5.00 | 63.8% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $17.89 | 1.90% | $0.34 | $1.36 | 17.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $2.77 | 6.70% | $0.19 | $0.76 | 9.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.86 | 14.30% | $0.12 | $0.48 | 6.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.21 | 1.20% | $0.06 | $0.24 | 3.1% |
| Total | $1.96 | $7.84 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$104.42
+$0.96 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$42.57
+$0.40 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$42.18
+$0.40 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$49.60
+$0.24 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$41.58
+$0.20 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$32.09
+$0.16 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$10.78
+$0.12 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.49
+$0.08 EV
Garchomp ex - 219/182
#219/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$6.59
+$0.08 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$12.91
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($35.10) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($35.10) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.08) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $283.46 | $70.56 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $115.92 | $23.88 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $175.26 | $66.88 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $69.63 | $11.76 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $26.34 | $6.38 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.82 | $2.21 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $35.10 | $9.92 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $8.72 | $1.96 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $32.54 | $7.84 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.64 | $1.96 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |