Shrouded Fable Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $6.75.
1 packs produce $4.33 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−61%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $11.08.
Expected Loss
−$6.75
The average opening result after paying $11.08 sealed.
Open Average
$4.33
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.77
Expected range $2.64-$6.02 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.33
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 3,000 pack openings.
$4.33 × 1 packs = $4.33
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$4.33 = $4.33
No promo value applied for this product.
$4.33 × 0.64 = $2.77
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $4.33 ÷ $11.08 = 39.1% • Cash-out: $2.77 ÷ $11.08 = 25.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.33 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 15 | $34.11 | 8.50% | $2.90 | $2.90 | 67.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 5 | $30.48 | 1.50% | $0.46 | $0.46 | 10.6% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 10 | $5.87 | 6.50% | $0.38 | $0.38 | 8.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $1.96 | 16.70% | $0.33 | $0.33 | 7.6% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $33.27 | 0.70% | $0.23 | $0.23 | 5.3% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.67 | 5.00% | $0.03 | $0.03 | 0.7% |
| Total | $4.33 | $4.33 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Shrouded Fable, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Persian - 078/064
#078/064 · IR
1 in 176 packs
$73.96
+$0.42 EV
Duskull - 068/064
#068/064 · IR
1 in 176 packs
$57.59
+$0.33 EV
Horsea - 067/064
#067/064 · IR
1 in 176 packs
$51.56
+$0.29 EV
Fezandipiti ex - 092/064
#092/064 · SIR
1 in 333 packs
$45.86
+$0.14 EV
Pecharunt ex - 039/064
#039/064 · RR
1 in 36 packs
$4.82
+$0.13 EV
Fezandipiti ex - 038/064
#038/064 · RR
1 in 36 packs
$4.31
+$0.12 EV
Cassiopeia - 094/064
#094/064 · SIR
1 in 333 packs
$40.98
+$0.12 EV
Basic Darkness Energy
#098/064 · HR
1 in 714 packs
$67.45
+$0.09 EV
Fezandipiti ex - 084/064
#084/064 · UR
1 in 154 packs
$12.80
+$0.08 EV
Xerosic's Machinations - 089/064
#089/064 · UR
1 in 154 packs
$12.49
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 3,000 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/24/shrouded-fable-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/, https://cardchill.com/article/pokemon-tcg-investment-report-shrouded-fable-booster-bundle). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($11.08) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($11.08) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrouded Fable ETB | $130.97 | $40.69 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | $60.06 | $25.98 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingdra ex Special Illustration Collection | $153.81 | $28.98 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Greninja ex Special Illustration Collection | $162.46 | $28.98 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister | $32.04 | $13.49 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | $19.93 | $8.66 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | $11.08 | $4.33 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.20 | $11.57 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $21.66 | $11.57 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $6.97 | $3.69 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.79 | $3.69 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $25.91 | $11.57 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.26 | $2.70 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.40 | $2.70 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |