Paradox Rift ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $92.04.
9 packs plus $6.24 in promo value produce $23.88 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−79%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $115.92.
Expected Loss
−$92.04
The average opening result after paying $115.92 sealed.
Open Average
$23.88
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$15.28
Expected range $0.51-$3.41 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.96
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$1.96 × 9 packs = $17.64
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$17.64 + $6.24 promos = $23.88
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$23.88 × 0.64 = $15.28
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $23.88 ÷ $115.92 = 20.6% • Cash-out: $15.28 ÷ $115.92 = 13.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.96 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $16.19 | 7.70% | $1.25 | $11.25 | 63.8% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $17.89 | 1.90% | $0.34 | $3.06 | 17.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $2.77 | 6.70% | $0.19 | $1.71 | 9.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.86 | 14.30% | $0.12 | $1.08 | 6.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.21 | 1.20% | $0.06 | $0.54 | 3.1% |
| Total | $1.96 | $17.64 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$104.42
+$2.16 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$42.57
+$0.90 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$42.18
+$0.90 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$49.60
+$0.54 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$41.58
+$0.45 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$32.09
+$0.36 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$10.78
+$0.27 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.49
+$0.18 EV
Garchomp ex - 219/182
#219/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$6.59
+$0.18 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$12.91
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($115.92) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($115.92) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($6.24) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $283.46 | $70.56 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $115.92 | $23.88 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $175.26 | $66.88 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $69.63 | $11.76 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $26.34 | $6.38 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.82 | $2.21 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $35.10 | $9.92 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $8.72 | $1.96 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $32.54 | $7.84 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.64 | $1.96 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |