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Surging Sparks Build & Battle Box
KEEP SEALED

Surging Sparks Build & Battle Box

4 packs + $1.00 in promos

−$44.49

you lose on avg

$7.84

market EV

$52.33

sealed price

85% return

Prices updated: 1h agoEV calculated: 1h agoPull rate confidence:High
High Variance Set47% of this set's EV comes from ultra-rare pulls (less than 1-in-50 odds). Most packs will return significantly less than the $1.71 average.

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$
KEEP SEALED

$44.49

15.0% return

How the EV is Calculated

01

EV per booster pack = $1.71

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.

02

$1.71 × 4 packs = $6.84

This product contains 4 booster packs.

03

$6.84 + $1.00 promos = $7.84

Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.

04

$7.84 ÷ $52.33 = 15.0% return

Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $1.71 EV per pack. For this 4-pack product, multiply by 4.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/4pk% of Total
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)11$62.051.15%$0.71$2.8441.5%
Illustration Rare(IR)23$6.047.70%$0.47$1.8827.5%
Ultra Rare(UR)21$2.966.70%$0.20$0.8011.7%
Double Rare(RR)18$1.0616.70%$0.18$0.7210.5%
Hyper Rare(HR)6$17.100.53%$0.09$0.365.3%
ACE SPEC Rare(ACE)8$1.285.00%$0.06$0.243.5%
Total$1.71$6.84100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Surging Sparks, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

1
Pikachu ex - 238/191

Pikachu ex - 238/191

#238/191 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 957 packs

$254.14

+$1.06 EV

2
Latias ex - 239/191

Latias ex - 239/191

#239/191 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 957 packs

$167.41

+$0.70 EV

3
Milotic ex - 237/191

Milotic ex - 237/191

#237/191 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 957 packs

$92.98

+$0.39 EV

4
Latios - 203/191

Latios - 203/191

#203/191 · Illustration Rare

1 in 299 packs

$27.32

+$0.37 EV

5
Pikachu ex - 219/191

Pikachu ex - 219/191

#219/191 · Ultra Rare

1 in 313 packs

$20.29

+$0.26 EV

6
Pikachu ex - 247/191

Pikachu ex - 247/191

#247/191 · Hyper Rare

1 in 1132 packs

$61.44

+$0.22 EV

7
Ceruledge - 197/191

Ceruledge - 197/191

#197/191 · Illustration Rare

1 in 299 packs

$15.46

+$0.21 EV

8
Pikachu ex - 057/191

Pikachu ex - 057/191

#057/191 · Double Rare

1 in 108 packs

$3.78

+$0.14 EV

9
Mesprit - 204/191

Mesprit - 204/191

#204/191 · Illustration Rare

1 in 299 packs

$9.07

+$0.12 EV

10
Latias ex - 076/191

Latias ex - 076/191

#076/191 · Double Rare

1 in 108 packs

$3.24

+$0.12 EV

Assumptions

  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Surging-Sparks-Pull-Rates, https://cardchill.com/article/pokemon-tcg-investment-report-surging-sparks-booster-box). Your results will vary.
  • Sealed price ($52.33) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($1.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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