Pokemon GO ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $94.28.
10 packs plus $6.40 in promo value produce $41.90 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−69%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $136.18.
Expected Loss
−$94.28
The average opening result after paying $136.18 sealed.
Open Average
$41.90
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$26.82
Expected range $0.24-$6.86 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.55
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 371 pack openings.
$3.55 × 10 packs = $35.50
This product contains 10 booster packs.
$35.50 + $6.40 promos = $41.90
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$41.90 × 0.64 = $26.82
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $41.90 ÷ $136.18 = 30.8% • Cash-out: $26.82 ÷ $136.18 = 19.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.55 EV per pack for this 10-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/10pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $6.57 | 23.45% | $1.54 | $15.40 | 43.4% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $12.76 | 5.39% | $0.69 | $6.90 | 19.4% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 16 | $0.96 | 70.35% | $0.67 | $6.70 | 18.9% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 10 | $17.15 | 3.77% | $0.65 | $6.50 | 18.3% |
| Total | $3.55 | $35.50 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon GO, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mewtwo V (Alternate Full Art)
#072/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$58.68
+$8.10 EV
Radiant Charizard
#011/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$20.77
+$3.70 EV
Dragonite V (Full Art)
#076/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$14.80
+$2.00 EV
Ditto
#053/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$4.14
+$1.80 EV
Dragonite VSTAR (Secret)
#081/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$48.84
+$1.80 EV
Radiant Blastoise
#018/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$9.49
+$1.70 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (79) (Secret)
#079/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$45.47
+$1.70 EV
Radiant Venusaur
#004/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$8.01
+$1.40 EV
Charizard
#010/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$2.43
+$1.10 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (86) (Secret)
#086/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$30.07
+$1.10 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 371 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-go-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($136.18) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($136.18) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($6.40) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokemon GO ETB | $136.18 | $41.90 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO PC ETB Plus | $209.31 | $49.00 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Collection | $37.39 | $15.20 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Premium Collection | $101.54 | $23.30 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Tin | $56.48 | $15.20 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Mini Tin | $26.67 | $7.10 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Booster Pack | $10.40 | $3.55 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |