Pokemon GO Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $45.86.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $18.08 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−72%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $63.94.
Expected Loss
−$45.86
The average opening result after paying $63.94 sealed.
Open Average
$18.08
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$11.57
Expected range $0.35-$8.19 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.27
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 371 pack openings.
$4.27 × 4 packs = $17.08
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$17.08 + $1.00 promos = $18.08
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$18.08 × 0.64 = $11.57
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $18.08 ÷ $63.94 = 28.3% • Cash-out: $11.57 ÷ $63.94 = 18.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.27 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $7.47 | 23.45% | $1.75 | $7.00 | 41.0% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 16 | $1.32 | 70.35% | $0.93 | $3.72 | 21.8% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $16.23 | 5.39% | $0.87 | $3.48 | 20.4% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 10 | $19.09 | 3.77% | $0.72 | $2.88 | 16.9% |
| Total | $4.27 | $17.08 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon GO, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mewtwo V (Alternate Full Art)
#072/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$68.52
+$3.80 EV
Radiant Charizard
#011/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$25.48
+$1.84 EV
Dragonite V (Full Art)
#076/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$17.99
+$1.00 EV
Ditto
#053/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$5.32
+$0.92 EV
Radiant Blastoise
#018/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$11.95
+$0.84 EV
Radiant Venusaur
#004/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$11.25
+$0.80 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (79) (Secret)
#079/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$51.29
+$0.76 EV
Dragonite VSTAR (Secret)
#081/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$49.10
+$0.76 EV
Charizard
#010/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$4.14
+$0.72 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (86) (Secret)
#086/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$39.20
+$0.60 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 371 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-go-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.99. Current sealed price ($63.94) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($63.94) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokemon GO ETB | $139.97 | $51.07 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO PC ETB Plus | $273.11 | $59.61 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Collection | $38.26 | $18.08 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Premium Collection | $134.78 | $27.62 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Tin | $63.94 | $18.08 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Mini Tin | $28.20 | $8.54 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Booster Pack | $11.70 | $4.27 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Tins Across Sets
See how this tin stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Tin | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | Ascended Heroes | $27.54 | $15.24 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | Black Bolt | $21.22 | $11.68 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | Pokemon 151 | $47.51 | $21.22 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | Shrouded Fable | $19.93 | $8.66 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (Y) | Multi-Set Products | $39.34 | $13.86 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (X) | Multi-Set Products | $41.46 | $13.86 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Tin | Paldean Fates | $113.52 | $33.65 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Mini Tin | Paldean Fates | $44.26 | $13.06 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |