Pokemon GO Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $22.19.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $15.20 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−59%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $37.39.
Expected Loss
−$22.19
The average opening result after paying $37.39 sealed.
Open Average
$15.20
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$9.73
Expected range $0.24-$6.86 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.55
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 371 pack openings.
$3.55 × 4 packs = $14.20
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$14.20 + $1.00 promos = $15.20
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$15.20 × 0.64 = $9.73
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $15.20 ÷ $37.39 = 40.6% • Cash-out: $9.73 ÷ $37.39 = 26.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.55 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $6.57 | 23.45% | $1.54 | $6.16 | 43.4% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $12.76 | 5.39% | $0.69 | $2.76 | 19.4% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 16 | $0.96 | 70.35% | $0.67 | $2.68 | 18.9% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 10 | $17.15 | 3.77% | $0.65 | $2.60 | 18.3% |
| Total | $3.55 | $14.20 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon GO, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mewtwo V (Alternate Full Art)
#072/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$58.68
+$3.24 EV
Radiant Charizard
#011/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$20.77
+$1.48 EV
Dragonite V (Full Art)
#076/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$14.80
+$0.80 EV
Ditto
#053/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$4.14
+$0.72 EV
Dragonite VSTAR (Secret)
#081/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$48.84
+$0.72 EV
Radiant Blastoise
#018/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$9.49
+$0.68 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (79) (Secret)
#079/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$45.47
+$0.68 EV
Radiant Venusaur
#004/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$8.01
+$0.56 EV
Charizard
#010/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$2.43
+$0.44 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (86) (Secret)
#086/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$30.07
+$0.44 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 371 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-go-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $24.99. Current sealed price ($37.39) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($37.39) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokemon GO ETB | $136.18 | $41.90 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO PC ETB Plus | $209.31 | $49.00 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Collection | $37.39 | $15.20 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Premium Collection | $101.54 | $23.30 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Tin | $56.48 | $15.20 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Mini Tin | $26.67 | $7.10 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Booster Pack | $10.40 | $3.55 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |