Evolving Skies ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $594.37.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $83.88 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $678.25.
Expected Loss
−$594.37
The average opening result after paying $678.25 sealed.
Open Average
$83.88
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$53.68
Expected range $0.00-$29.42 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.36
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$10.36 × 8 packs = $82.88
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$82.88 + $1.00 promos = $83.88
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$83.88 × 0.64 = $53.68
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $83.88 ÷ $678.25 = 12.4% • Cash-out: $53.68 ÷ $678.25 = 7.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.36 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 71 | $37.04 | 19.00% | $7.04 | $56.32 | 68.0% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 34 | $134.80 | 2.40% | $3.24 | $25.92 | 31.3% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.34 | 22.00% | $0.08 | $0.64 | 0.8% |
| Total | $10.36 | $82.88 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Evolving Skies, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#215/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$2005.20
+$11.36 EV
Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
#192/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$478.51
+$10.24 EV
Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art)
#194/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$389.69
+$8.32 EV
Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art)
#189/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$366.69
+$7.84 EV
Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#218/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$982.89
+$5.52 EV
Sylveon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#212/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$377.70
+$2.16 EV
Salamence
#109/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.58
+$0.08 EV
Raichu
#050/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.47
+$0.08 EV
Galarian Zapdos
#082/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.42
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($678.25) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($678.25) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box | $2702.54 | $372.96 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies ETB | $678.25 | $83.88 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies PC ETB | $1302.27 | $105.60 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister | $193.52 | $31.58 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box | $294.92 | $78.86 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster | $285.44 | $10.36 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Booster Pack | $45.69 | $10.36 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |