Evolving Skies ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $545.91.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $72.92 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $618.83.
Expected Loss
−$545.91
The average opening result after paying $618.83 sealed.
Open Average
$72.92
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$46.67
Expected range $0.00-$25.15 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $8.99
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$8.99 × 8 packs = $71.92
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$71.92 + $1.00 promos = $72.92
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$72.92 × 0.64 = $46.67
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $72.92 ÷ $618.83 = 11.8% • Cash-out: $46.67 ÷ $618.83 = 7.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $8.99 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 71 | $31.77 | 19.00% | $6.04 | $48.32 | 67.2% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 34 | $120.11 | 2.40% | $2.88 | $23.04 | 32.0% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.32 | 22.00% | $0.07 | $0.56 | 0.8% |
| Total | $8.99 | $71.92 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Evolving Skies, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#215/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$1902.61
+$10.72 EV
Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
#192/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$388.83
+$8.32 EV
Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art)
#189/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$326.23
+$6.96 EV
Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art)
#194/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$283.11
+$6.08 EV
Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#218/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$740.79
+$4.16 EV
Sylveon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#212/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$345.75
+$1.92 EV
Salamence
#109/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.46
+$0.08 EV
Galarian Moltres
#093/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.45
+$0.00 EV
Raichu
#050/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.42
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($618.83) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($618.83) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box | $2627.99 | $323.64 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies ETB | $618.83 | $72.92 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies PC ETB | $1210.82 | $91.90 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister | $183.35 | $27.47 | −85% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box | $286.48 | $72.07 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster | $275.70 | $8.99 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Booster Pack | $42.67 | $8.99 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |