Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $216.06.
4 packs plus $37.42 in promo value produce $78.86 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−73%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $294.92.
Expected Loss
−$216.06
The average opening result after paying $294.92 sealed.
Open Average
$78.86
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$50.47
Expected range $0.00-$29.42 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.36
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$10.36 × 4 packs = $41.44
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$41.44 + $37.42 promos = $78.86
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$78.86 × 0.64 = $50.47
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $78.86 ÷ $294.92 = 26.7% • Cash-out: $50.47 ÷ $294.92 = 17.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.36 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 71 | $37.04 | 19.00% | $7.04 | $28.16 | 68.0% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 34 | $134.80 | 2.40% | $3.24 | $12.96 | 31.3% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.34 | 22.00% | $0.08 | $0.32 | 0.8% |
| Total | $10.36 | $41.44 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Evolving Skies, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#215/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$2005.20
+$5.68 EV
Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
#192/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$478.51
+$5.12 EV
Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art)
#194/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$389.69
+$4.16 EV
Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art)
#189/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$366.69
+$3.92 EV
Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#218/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$982.89
+$2.76 EV
Sylveon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#212/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$377.70
+$1.08 EV
Salamence
#109/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.58
+$0.04 EV
Raichu
#050/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.47
+$0.04 EV
Galarian Zapdos
#082/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.42
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($294.92) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($294.92) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($37.42) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box | $2702.54 | $372.96 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies ETB | $678.25 | $83.88 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies PC ETB | $1302.27 | $105.60 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister | $193.52 | $31.58 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box | $294.92 | $78.86 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster | $285.44 | $10.36 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Booster Pack | $45.69 | $10.36 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |